NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	6.0 [595]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +10.2%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	2.2 [335]		LVP	Greg Anthony (POR): -14.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	15	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Harvey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.03	14	59%	0.00	1	-0.01	16	81%	0.05
Scottie Pippen	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.08	0.02	8	44%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Bonzi Wells	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.01	12	58%	0.10	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.01	6	78%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.08
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	11	67%	0.09	2	-0.06	14	86%	0.05
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	7	58%	0.07	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	35.6	17.6	22.7	2.0	38.5	143.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.0%

UTA +32.5%

POR -8.4%

UTA +1.9%

UTA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	18.8	15.2	104.8	112.2	101.7
season	15.9	16.3		105.9	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.6	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.3	20.8	16.2	15.2	16.1
UTA	18.8	19.2	18.8	18.4	18.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	12	11	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.01	2	-7	9	18.7	15.7	3.05	15.5	19.3	-3.84
Antonio Harvey	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-3	1	0.0	16.3	-16.34	12.0	18.9	-6.86
Damon Stoudamire	66	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-6	7	15.2	19.8	-4.55	18.7	18.9	-0.21
Bonzi Wells	16	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-3	1	18.8	15.5	3.31	20.2	18.4	1.78
Detlef Schrempf	49	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.37	7	-12	19	15.6	16.9	-1.25	19.2	18.3	0.91
Arvydas Sabonis	63	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-8	11	15.5	18.3	-2.84	18.7	18.9	-0.22
Scottie Pippen	68	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-6	7	15.5	19.3	-3.81	18.3	20.6	-2.29
Stacey Augmon	15	16	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	1	-7	19.3	15.5	3.81	20.6	18.3	2.29
Steven Smith	67	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	15.5	18.8	-3.31	18.4	20.2	-1.78
Greg Anthony	17	18	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	1	-7	19.8	15.2	4.55	18.9	18.7	0.21
Rasheed Wallace	41	43	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.10	-20	15	-35	17.4	14.9	2.56	19.4	18.1	1.39

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	56	58	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.21	16	-11	27	17.8	20.9	-3.08	16.3	15.8	0.55
Greg Ostertag	40	41	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-5	15	18.9	18.7	0.18	17.8	14.6	3.18
Jeff Hornacek	37	38	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-8	21	17.3	20.0	-2.70	16.9	15.5	1.43
Quincy Lewis	15	16	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-5	15	16.1	19.4	-3.32	18.7	15.5	3.15
Karl Malone	69	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	4	-3	18.2	22.1	-3.92	15.5	19.7	-4.21
Bryon Russell	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.43	-6	11	-17	19.2	17.3	1.97	16.0	16.6	-0.63
Pete Chilcutt	14	14	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	-1	7	21.4	18.2	3.11	18.3	15.7	2.58
Scott Padgett	32	31	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	0	5	18.5	19.0	-0.51	15.5	16.5	-0.95
Jacque Vaughn	3	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	9	-13	18.0	18.8	-0.81	23.7	15.8	7.99
Adam Keefe	8	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	10	-15	26.9	17.9	8.97	13.1	16.4	-3.28
Howard Eisley	32	31	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.26	-14	19	-33	20.9	17.4	3.54	14.2	17.3	-3.17
Olden Polynice	41	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.04	-7	12	-19	18.9	18.7	0.15	14.9	17.3	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 110, NOH 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.3,0.38,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	93.1%
UTA 92, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.95,1	92.9%
TOR 103, NJN 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.63,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.96,1,1,1	92.9%