NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	112		Excitement	4.8 [843]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (TOR): +24.3%
Toronto Raptors	123		Comeback	1.1 [1056]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -10.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	9	58%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	8	60%	0.12	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Danny Granger	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	-0.01	0.08	27	58%	0.08	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	10	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luther Head	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.20	0.06	0.01	7	120%	0.27	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	-0.00	0.01	11	84%	0.16	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	4	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	10	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	78%	0.13	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	37%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	19	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.6	30.1	15.5	27.5	2.4	24.5	132.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +38.3%

TOR +0.5%

TOR +7.4%

TOR +2.0%

TOR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	14.6	15.3	110.9	123.0	106.0
season	14.2	15.0		102.2	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.1		111.5	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.0	15.2	13.9	15.8	14.1
TOR	12.8	13.0	13.8	20.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	22	23	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-17	23	13.8	14.1	-0.37	14.5	14.6	-0.10
Luther Head	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-9	7	12.1	14.2	-2.06	15.1	14.6	0.58
Tyler Hansbrough	34	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-11	11	13.2	14.5	-1.24	13.8	15.0	-1.17
Earl Watson	39	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-10	9	13.9	14.2	-0.31	15.5	14.1	1.41
Jeff Foster	45	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-10	9	14.2	13.9	0.33	14.9	14.4	0.47
Danny Granger	80	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-11	11	13.7	15.5	-1.85	14.5	15.0	-0.57
Brandon Rush	66	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	-6	1	14.1	14.0	0.13	14.2	15.5	-1.32
Roy Hibbert	29	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	6	-23	15.0	13.7	1.37	12.6	15.4	-2.82
Dahntay Jones	54	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	3	-17	14.3	13.8	0.43	16.2	12.9	3.26
T.J. Ford	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	14.2	13.9	0.31	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Troy Murphy	67	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	0	-11	14.5	13.2	1.24	15.0	13.8	1.17

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	59	60	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-3	17	15.3	13.6	1.68	14.4	13.6	0.80
Marco Belinelli	53	53	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	2	7	15.4	13.7	1.69	15.0	13.0	1.98
Chris Bosh	67	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	5	1	15.3	13.2	2.07	13.6	15.1	-1.47
Rasho Nesterovic	35	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	-2	15	13.5	15.2	-1.71	13.6	14.3	-0.74
Antoine Wright	34	34	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	4	3	15.5	14.2	1.32	13.1	14.5	-1.42
Andrea Bargnani	68	68	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	7	-3	14.1	15.6	-1.42	14.7	12.8	1.84
Hedo Turkoglu	72	72	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	8	-5	13.7	16.9	-3.13	13.7	14.8	-1.08
Jose Calderon	63	65	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	7	-3	15.4	13.3	2.07	13.8	14.6	-0.81
Amir Johnson	25	24	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	11	-11	13.7	14.9	-1.23	15.7	13.6	2.11
DeMar DeRozan	24	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	16	-21	12.5	15.3	-2.76	13.0	14.4	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.85,0.92,0.84,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.93,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DAL 86, SEA 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIL 100, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	95.2%