NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	86		Excitement	4.3 [930]		MVP	Emanual Davis (SEA): +7.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	1.1 [1121]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -12.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	22	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Steve Nash	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	44%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	26	55%	0.03	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	10	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Ceballos	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	12	43%	-0.00	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	75%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	11	67%	0.10	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	20	64%	0.05	5	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	17	54%	0.07	5	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.19	0.00	-0.06	12	23%	-0.07	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	60.1	1.8	27.0	15.8	30.1	1.7	28.3	164.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +37.0%

DAL -3.6%

SEA +8.7%

SEA +2.3%

SEA +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	NBA	DAL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.0	13.7	15.2	86.0	100.0	101.7
season	14.8	14.9		104.2	103.5
opponent	15.4	14.8		102.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.7	13.3	15.3	14.8	15.0
SEA	12.1	12.9	16.0	14.1	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-11	7	10.7	15.2	-4.57	15.1	13.6	1.55
Steve Nash	39	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-11	7	14.1	15.5	-1.49	13.5	13.8	-0.32
Robert Pack	10	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-6	-3	15.7	14.9	0.82	13.9	13.7	0.20
Dennis Rodman	73	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-16	17	15.6	13.2	2.38	13.5	14.2	-0.71
Erick Strickland	73	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-15	15	15.6	13.3	2.28	13.6	14.1	-0.56
Greg Buckner	15	14	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	-4	-7	13.7	15.2	-1.52	11.9	14.0	-2.14
Shawn Bradley	65	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-5	-5	15.0	14.8	0.20	14.6	12.0	2.65
Dirk Nowitzki	90	92	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	-9	3	14.9	15.7	-0.82	13.7	13.9	-0.20
Cedric Ceballos	35	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	0	-15	14.6	15.1	-0.51	13.9	13.6	0.36
Michael Finley	94	95	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.00	-17	2	-19	14.9	15.7	-0.75	13.5	17.0	-3.51

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	56	54	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.15	26	-11	37	13.8	13.6	0.23	15.0	15.0	0.01
Emanual Davis	58	56	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	-3	21	13.2	14.4	-1.25	14.0	16.2	-2.22
Vin Baker	72	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	6	3	13.3	14.7	-1.38	15.3	14.1	1.11
Brent Barry	89	87	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	8	-1	13.8	12.7	1.08	14.9	15.2	-0.22
Ruben Patterson	85	84	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	5	5	14.0	12.0	2.02	15.0	14.7	0.32
Greg Foster	39	37	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	6	3	14.7	13.1	1.61	15.4	14.7	0.75
Gary Payton	62	65	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	13	-11	13.5	14.1	-0.65	15.3	14.3	0.95
Horace Grant	44	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	21	-27	13.5	13.8	-0.32	14.8	15.1	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.7%
MEM 82, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
DEN 91, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%