NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	91		Excitement	4.1 [989]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): +3.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	1.0 [1248]		LVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): -16.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	17	60%	0.09	5	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	15	66%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Doleac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	18	42%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Earl Boykins	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	0.00	-0.04	0.12	19	47%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	18	51%	0.04	2	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	3	86%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	16	62%	0.10	6	-0.11	13	77%	0.04
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	68%	0.03	6	-0.08	12	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	567.8	3.6	33.2	17.6	30.1	3.5	-679.7	-23.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +25.8%

MIN +18.4%

DEN -0.1%

MIN +5.3%

MIN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MIN	NBA	DEN	MIN	NBA
this game	14.7	15.4	15.7	95.8	106.2	100.5
season	14.9	15.6		101.6	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		98.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.8	14.2	13.4	16.7	14.7
MIN	17.2	14.1	14.8	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	50	50	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.33	12	-23	35	14.7	14.7	-0.01	15.7	15.1	0.61
Ryan Bowen	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-11	11	9.0	14.8	-5.79	17.0	15.4	1.59
Chris Andersen	6	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-10	9	12.7	14.9	-2.20	17.0	15.3	1.66
Earl Boykins	56	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-17	23	14.3	15.3	-0.99	15.5	15.3	0.29
Jon Barry	57	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-5	-1	14.3	15.4	-1.07	15.3	15.6	-0.27
Voshon Lenard	85	87	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-6	1	14.9	13.5	1.37	15.1	18.1	-2.96
Rodney White	18	17	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	1	-13	14.4	14.8	-0.42	13.9	15.7	-1.81
Marcus Camby	81	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-3	-5	14.8	14.2	0.60	15.5	15.0	0.49
Nene	43	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.26	-24	13	-37	15.0	14.5	0.50	15.5	15.4	0.13
Andre Miller	78	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.02	-17	6	-23	15.2	12.4	2.89	15.6	14.5	1.16

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	92	90	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.04	22	-11	33	15.2	20.2	-5.03	15.0	9.8	5.20
Kevin Garnett	77	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-6	23	15.1	16.9	-1.83	15.2	12.5	2.75
Fred Hoiberg	63	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	3	5	15.0	16.3	-1.33	14.7	14.8	-0.06
Michael Olowokandi	30	30	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	-2	15	14.6	15.8	-1.15	14.8	14.7	0.06
Mark Madsen	44	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	8	-5	17.2	13.9	3.32	15.2	14.4	0.87
Sam Cassell	68	66	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	12	-13	15.7	14.8	0.86	14.5	15.2	-0.64
Darrick Martin	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	5	1	12.1	16.1	-3.96	13.9	14.9	-1.02
Trenton Hassell	56	59	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.31	-6	17	-23	15.8	14.9	0.95	14.3	15.4	-1.02
Ervin Johnson	34	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	18	-25	16.4	14.9	1.57	13.7	15.3	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 86, SEA 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.5%
LAC 94, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DET 78, CHA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%