NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	3.6 [1110]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (LAL): +11.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	1.3 [1049]		LVP	David Wesley (HOU): -6.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.01	-0.02	24	54%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	69%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Barrett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.06	15	61%	0.00	1	-0.02	11	82%	-0.00
Bob Sura	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	14	59%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	7	19%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
David Wesley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	11	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	66%	0.09	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.03
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	13	65%	0.06	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	4	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	19	56%	0.06	3	-0.06	10	60%	-0.03
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	3.6	32.8	16.6	26.5	3.7	37.8	147.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.1%

LAL +4.1%

LAL +2.6%

LAL +0.2%

LAL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	16.9	15.5	115.6	123.3	104.0
season	16.0	15.7		104.2	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.8		108.8	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.7	15.1	13.7	15.0	15.1
LAL	15.3	15.5	20.0	17.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	8	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	12.5	15.4	-2.88	17.4	16.8	0.60
Dikembe Mutombo	16	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-2	-3	16.4	14.9	1.52	18.0	16.7	1.35
Bob Sura	66	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.48	12	-19	31	14.8	16.1	-1.31	17.4	15.3	2.11
Andre Barrett	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-1	-5	15.7	15.0	0.72	15.5	17.1	-1.59
Yao Ming	55	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-9	11	15.0	15.3	-0.36	16.9	16.8	0.05
Juwan Howard	56	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-6	5	15.4	14.6	0.76	17.0	16.7	0.23
Maurice Taylor	45	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	0	-7	15.0	15.3	-0.33	16.3	17.5	-1.18
David Wesley	59	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	1	-9	15.1	15.2	-0.06	16.4	18.0	-1.60
Jon Barry	44	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	6	-19	15.4	14.8	0.61	17.0	16.8	0.23
Tracy McGrady	89	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	-1	-5	15.2	12.0	3.16	17.0	13.5	3.45

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	84	84	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	2	3	16.8	18.3	-1.56	15.5	10.5	4.95
Brian Grant	48	47	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-5	17	16.5	17.4	-0.90	16.0	14.2	1.75
Lamar Odom	71	72	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	3	1	16.6	18.0	-1.42	14.5	17.5	-2.97
Chucky Atkins	77	78	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	8	-9	17.3	14.3	3.00	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Caron Butler	82	82	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.40	-3	10	-13	17.3	12.5	4.80	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Jumaine Jones	14	15	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.16	14	-7	21	14.1	17.4	-3.24	14.7	15.2	-0.55
Tierre Brown	20	19	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	-2	11	16.0	17.1	-1.13	14.1	15.4	-1.36
Brian Cook	19	18	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	4	-1	18.0	16.6	1.42	17.5	14.5	2.97
Chris Mihm	35	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.21	-8	15	-23	17.3	16.6	0.76	14.6	15.5	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 86, SEA 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.7%
IND 88, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DEN 89, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%