inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 89 Excitement3.8 [1072] MVPJJ Redick (ORL): +17.2%
Orlando Magic 102 Comeback1.2 [386] LVPWilson Chandler (DEN): -10.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.00-0.001455%0.081-0.021479%0.01
Andre Miller0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.00869%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Jordan Hamilton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01250%0.0000.00450%0.00
Evan Fournier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01944%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.051041%0.023-0.042100%0.01
JaVale McGee-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00540%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Kosta Koufos-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.010.05647%-0.041-0.03333%-0.03
Ty Lawson-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.021540%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Wilson Chandler-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.000.031037%-0.072-0.03450%-0.03

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.180.010.011178%0.1700.00580%0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.012553%0.091-0.01560%-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.021065%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.05-0.00-0.06941%0.042-0.034100%0.02
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ish Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02333%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00650%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.03490%0.053-0.06250%-0.02
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.120.00-0.031325%-0.071-0.02250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.425.616.331.42.727.5130.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +32.8%
ORL +5.5%
ORL +4.8%
ORL +4.1%
ORL +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENORLNBADENORLNBA
this game14.415.915.493.7107.4104.1
season14.415.5108.4100.3
opponent15.315.4107.7104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.315.312.014.114.4
ORL13.716.016.817.215.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Hamilton660.00-0.500.50-0.124-172110.814.7-3.8221.815.56.33
Kosta Koufos5254-0.02-0.480.47-0.258-212914.514.30.2016.615.01.51
Evan Fournier1313-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-10711.814.8-2.9717.315.71.62
Wilson Chandler4139-0.21-0.290.09-0.09-4-9513.115.4-2.3115.516.2-0.62
Danilo Gallinari6668-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-3-10714.713.71.0916.215.11.16
JaVale McGee2624-0.24-0.260.020.02-9-4-514.314.4-0.1414.016.5-2.55
Andre Miller4140-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-10-3-714.714.20.4816.015.80.21
Corey Brewer4948-0.30-0.20-0.090.03-11-2-914.314.5-0.1315.216.6-1.37
Andre Iguodala7071-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.02-10-3-714.414.40.0116.015.70.32
Kenneth Faried3838-0.37-0.13-0.250.04-141-1515.313.81.5515.316.3-1.07
Ty Lawson7374-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.03-130-1315.012.52.4315.816.1-0.31

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh McRoberts56560.53-0.030.56-0.2025-123715.217.0-1.8114.015.0-1.04
E'Twaun Moore49510.490.010.47-0.0418-52315.716.1-0.3513.715.2-1.48
Glen Davis64670.410.090.31-0.0917-42116.514.61.9214.414.5-0.13
JJ Redick71710.390.110.280.10103715.517.0-1.5213.716.5-2.74
Jameer Nelson68660.180.32-0.130.12211-916.414.61.7815.112.92.13
Arron Afflalo63610.160.34-0.190.10211-916.115.50.5615.013.41.51
Ish Smith11110.120.38-0.270.03310-714.716.1-1.3313.514.5-1.08
Andrew Nicholson24230.110.39-0.280.14-114-1516.215.80.4113.514.7-1.23
Hedo Turkoglu32320.110.39-0.280.17-215-1716.715.51.2715.413.91.50
Nikola Vucevic32310.010.49-0.470.16-518-2314.716.5-1.8816.213.52.69
Kyle O'Quinn560.000.50-0.500.12-417-2117.815.82.0010.814.7-3.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 99, ATL 1100.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,196.3%
UTA 100, LAL 1130.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,196.2%
HOU 71, PHX 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%