NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	4.0 [1014]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (ATL): +16.6%
Atlanta Hawks	110		Comeback	1.3 [1021]		LVP	Jiri Welsch (BOS): -9.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.02	15	65%	0.07	5	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	-0.00	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.03
Jumaine Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	17	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	9	56%	-0.04
Chris Mihm	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Jiri Welsch	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.01	0.01	17	78%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	15	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	20	53%	0.08	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Michael Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	6	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	7	25%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.03	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	32.5	14.7	21.0	2.7	27.0	125.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +18.8%

ATL +12.6%

ATL +16.9%

ATL +2.6%

BOS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.9	15.7	104.2	114.6	100.5
season	14.4	15.3		99.5	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	13.3	16.8	13.6	14.3
ATL	14.8	14.9	18.3	15.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	9	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-9	7	14.3	14.3	0.05	18.0	15.6	2.38
Jumaine Jones	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-8	5	11.5	14.5	-2.97	10.8	16.2	-5.37
Walter McCarty	61	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-9	7	14.8	13.4	1.40	16.9	13.9	3.02
Chucky Atkins	66	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-12	13	14.4	14.1	0.26	17.2	12.8	4.41
Mark Blount	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-5	-1	14.6	13.3	1.31	16.2	14.9	1.34
Marcus Banks	38	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	2	-15	13.9	14.5	-0.56	13.4	17.5	-4.04
Paul Pierce	85	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-6	1	14.5	12.1	2.44	16.0	14.4	1.57
Jiri Welsch	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.15	-9	-2	-7	14.0	15.4	-1.42	16.0	15.2	0.82
Ricky Davis	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	5	-21	13.8	15.3	-1.49	14.2	19.2	-4.98

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	75	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.06	20	-9	29	14.7	20.0	-5.29	14.9	12.3	2.57
Jason Terry	89	87	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	3	5	15.8	17.1	-1.38	14.3	14.1	0.17
Boris Diaw	60	60	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.07	12	-1	13	14.9	17.4	-2.53	14.8	13.4	1.40
Travis Hansen	57	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-1	13	14.5	17.9	-3.42	13.4	15.6	-2.20
Bob Sura	71	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	2	7	16.0	15.5	0.52	14.4	13.9	0.55
Chris Crawford	74	74	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	11	-11	16.9	12.3	4.60	14.3	14.3	-0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	12	11	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	3	5	11.6	16.5	-4.89	14.1	14.3	-0.22
Michael Bradley	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	14	-17	24.6	15.2	9.39	11.4	14.5	-3.08
Jason Collier	35	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.28	-11	22	-33	19.7	13.7	6.06	13.9	14.5	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 74, CHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	96.5%
LAL 104, DAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DEN 89, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%