NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	4.0 [1014]		MVP	Jeremy Lamb (CHA): +13.1%
Charlotte Hornets	100		Comeback	1.2 [953]		LVP	Johnny O'Bryant III (CHA): -10.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	25	72%	0.24	6	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.03	11	73%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rakeem Christmas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	57%	0.05	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	11	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	9	78%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	22	58%	0.12	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.02	-0.09	19	50%	0.15	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	58%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	33%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.6	28.4	17.4	23.0	2.6	29.2	125.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +8.4%

CHA +13.3%

CHA +11.6%

CHA +12.9%

CHA +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	14.8	94.6	107.5	107.7
season	14.9	15.1		107.5	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.8		107.9	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	15.4	15.8	15.8	15.2
CHA	14.8	14.6	17.7	16.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	17	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-15	18	17.2	14.8	2.41	17.0	15.5	1.53
Rakeem Christmas	15	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-15	18	17.4	14.8	2.62	17.1	15.5	1.66
CJ Miles	65	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-17	22	14.8	16.1	-1.24	16.3	14.6	1.76
Thaddeus Young	43	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-11	10	15.1	15.3	-0.25	15.9	15.7	0.17
Al Jefferson	14	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-3	-6	15.4	15.2	0.18	12.9	16.3	-3.42
Rodney Stuckey	19	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-4	-4	15.4	15.2	0.21	14.0	16.2	-2.22
Jeff Teague	57	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-5	-2	14.6	16.2	-1.66	16.0	15.5	0.50
Paul George	69	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-12	12	15.2	15.2	-0.06	15.7	15.9	-0.12
Myles Turner	64	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-6	0	14.7	16.4	-1.76	16.0	15.2	0.85
Glenn Robinson III	52	52	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	6	-24	14.9	15.6	-0.73	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Monta Ellis	50	49	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.14	-22	10	-32	16.2	14.1	2.07	15.1	16.5	-1.48

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	47	46	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.03	14	-2	16	15.5	16.0	-0.47	16.1	14.3	1.79
Kemba Walker	69	67	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	2	8	15.6	16.2	-0.60	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	62	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	5	2	15.8	15.6	0.18	15.0	15.6	-0.55
Cody Zeller	67	66	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	9	-6	16.0	15.2	0.85	14.8	16.1	-1.23
Marco Belinelli	25	27	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.13	13	-1	14	16.2	15.6	0.54	16.1	14.8	1.33
Nicolas Batum	67	68	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	6	0	15.9	15.5	0.37	14.4	17.4	-3.06
Johnny O'Bryant III	26	27	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	3	6	15.2	16.0	-0.85	16.1	14.8	1.23
Marvin Williams	78	77	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.34	-4	16	-20	15.6	16.4	-0.76	15.2	15.2	0.02
Brian Roberts	24	26	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	10	-8	16.2	15.6	0.60	15.5	15.1	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.2%
LAL 99, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.1%
IND 112, TOR 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.85,0.92,0.84,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%