NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	4.4 [931]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +8.1%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.1 [1151]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (POR): -10.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	69%	0.06	6	-0.11	6	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	13	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	16	43%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Darius Miles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	10	55%	-0.03	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.05	13	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.05	16	71%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	6	79%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.01	0.04	16	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	15	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	31.3	16.3	26.6	1.6	27.0	126.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +34.2%

DAL +3.1%

DAL +8.7%

DAL +0.6%

DAL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.7	95.8	120.7	100.5
season	17.1	14.6		101.5	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.0	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.3	17.8	12.4	15.5	15.8
DAL	11.7	13.0	18.4	17.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	13	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-24	28	12.9	16.2	-3.28	15.8	14.9	0.89
Dan Dickau	10	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	-13	6	15.7	15.8	-0.06	17.8	14.7	3.10
Darius Miles	62	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.12	-8	-12	4	14.4	18.3	-3.85	15.9	13.5	2.32
Qyntel Woods	11	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	-12	4	17.1	15.6	1.51	16.4	14.8	1.59
Zach Randolph	62	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-9	-2	15.6	16.0	-0.32	14.1	16.6	-2.50
Theo Ratliff	53	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-9	-2	16.1	15.3	0.76	16.5	13.4	3.16
Derek Anderson	80	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-10	0	15.6	16.4	-0.76	14.9	15.4	-0.49
Ruben Patterson	36	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-10	0	17.7	14.6	3.07	13.9	15.8	-1.90
Damon Stoudamire	85	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-7	-6	15.8	15.7	0.06	14.7	17.8	-3.10
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	63	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.20	-26	6	-32	16.3	14.7	1.66	14.3	16.8	-2.52

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	71	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	2	16	14.5	16.8	-2.24	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Antoine Walker	78	82	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.02	14	6	8	15.2	14.4	0.80	16.2	13.0	3.20
Dirk Nowitzki	69	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.16	19	1	18	15.1	14.7	0.39	16.6	12.8	3.79
Michael Finley	76	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	6	8	15.7	11.7	3.97	15.8	15.3	0.55
Shawn Bradley	22	22	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.10	14	6	8	15.8	14.8	0.97	16.4	15.6	0.85
Antawn Jamison	50	49	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	13	-6	15.0	15.1	-0.07	14.1	17.5	-3.34
Danny Fortson	26	23	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	16	-12	11.9	16.3	-4.33	17.2	15.3	1.87
Marquis Daniels	16	14	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	15	-10	11.7	15.7	-3.97	15.3	15.8	-0.55
Scott Williams	34	40	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	15	-10	16.8	14.0	2.75	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Tony Delk	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	18	-16	17.7	14.9	2.84	10.7	15.9	-5.26
Eduardo Najera	14	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	16.2	14.8	1.39	12.7	16.2	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.93,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 89, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
IND 112, TOR 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.85,0.92,0.84,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
MEM 99, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%