NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	99		Excitement	3.7 [1046]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +12.9%
New Jersey Nets	107		Comeback	1.2 [1157]		LVP	Mike Batiste (MEM): -8.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	17	71%	0.12	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	18	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	15	47%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Mike Batiste	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.00	15	69%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	11	61%	0.09	4	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	5	73%	0.07	4	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	11	63%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	4	61%	-0.01	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.03
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	39%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.03	10	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	30.4	15.4	24.1	0.7	27.5	123.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +22.2%

NJN +11.3%

NJN +17.3%

MEM -4.1%

NJN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NJN	NBA	MEM	NJN	NBA
this game	15.6	13.8	15.5	102.1	108.1	101.6
season	15.3	15.0		101.8	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.2		96.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.1	16.2	14.2	15.2	15.6
NJN	14.9	12.7	14.0	13.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	24	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-11	14	15.4	15.7	-0.30	13.3	13.9	-0.62
Mike Batiste	21	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	-3	-2	15.4	15.7	-0.27	15.0	13.4	1.62
Mike Miller	60	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.33	6	-14	20	15.7	15.6	0.07	13.8	13.7	0.07
Jason Williams	75	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.37	7	-15	22	15.4	16.3	-0.88	13.5	14.5	-1.00
Wesley Person	48	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-6	4	15.9	15.3	0.59	13.4	14.1	-0.69
Pau Gasol	81	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-8	8	15.5	16.1	-0.58	13.3	16.1	-2.77
Earl Watson	45	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-2	-4	15.6	15.7	-0.07	13.9	13.7	0.21
Brevin Knight	22	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	7	-22	16.3	15.4	0.88	14.5	13.5	1.00
Shane Battier	41	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	6	-20	15.3	15.9	-0.60	14.0	13.6	0.43
Lorenzen Wright	68	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	6	-20	15.9	15.0	0.86	14.1	13.0	1.15

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	39	39	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.08	18	-10	28	12.8	14.4	-1.56	16.1	15.3	0.77
Lucious Harris	43	43	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-8	24	13.8	13.8	-0.00	15.5	15.8	-0.27
Kerry Kittles	83	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	0	8	13.5	15.2	-1.69	15.7	15.2	0.52
Rodney Rogers	37	36	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-6	20	12.6	14.4	-1.79	14.9	16.1	-1.19
Jason Kidd	81	77	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.34	-3	11	-14	13.6	14.4	-0.76	15.4	16.5	-1.15
Richard Jefferson	80	79	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.36	-5	13	-18	14.0	12.6	1.47	15.6	15.9	-0.37
Kenyon Martin	61	61	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.32	-5	13	-18	14.0	13.3	0.69	16.1	14.8	1.33
Jason Collins	66	63	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.33	-7	15	-22	14.5	12.3	2.24	15.4	16.0	-0.56
Brian Scalabrine	5	5	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	4	0	18.6	13.5	5.09	18.6	15.5	3.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 79, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.82,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
MIL 84, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DET 89, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%