NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	79		Excitement	3.5 [1107]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +8.6%
Miami Heat	95		Comeback	1.1 [961]		LVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): -13.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	33%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Acie Law	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	5	80%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.00	0.06	11	52%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.01	5	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	10	54%	-0.00	4	-0.09	6	50%	-0.03
Mike Bibby	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.20	-0.00	-0.06	6	13%	-0.08	5	-0.06	3	0%	-0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.18	-0.00	0.09	19	73%	0.16	4	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.03	13	55%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	80%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	-0.07	14	41%	0.02	5	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.7	33.2	16.8	27.2	2.5	30.7	139.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +34.1%

MIA +3.3%

MIA +4.9%

MIA +5.8%

MIA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.5	86.8	103.3	106.4
season	15.8	16.0		106.7	105.9
opponent	15.7	16.1		105.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	15.4	16.2	16.7	15.8
MIA	16.9	15.3	15.1	15.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	26	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-15	14	12.2	17.3	-5.14	17.0	15.1	1.96
Maurice Evans	42	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-15	14	14.4	17.0	-2.64	15.7	15.6	0.06
Ronald Murray	47	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-11	6	15.1	16.5	-1.40	15.6	15.7	-0.01
Acie Law	16	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-6	-4	15.7	15.8	-0.09	14.6	15.9	-1.32
Zaza Pachulia	40	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-7	-2	16.9	14.9	2.01	15.9	15.4	0.51
Josh Smith	70	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-9	2	16.2	14.6	1.63	14.9	18.5	-3.64
Mike Bibby	61	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	2	-20	16.1	15.3	0.78	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Marvin Williams	69	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	-1	-14	17.0	12.3	4.68	16.3	13.7	2.55
Joe Johnson	84	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	-2	-12	16.1	12.6	3.52	15.5	17.3	-1.77

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	83	81	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	4	8	15.6	16.4	-0.88	15.8	16.3	-0.53
Mario Chalmers	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	4	8	15.4	16.2	-0.81	16.0	15.4	0.55
Dwyane Wade	66	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	7	2	14.5	18.6	-4.08	16.7	13.4	3.29
James Jones	25	24	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.10	15	1	14	15.3	15.8	-0.46	15.2	16.0	-0.78
Daequan Cook	61	58	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	10	-4	16.3	14.4	1.86	14.9	17.4	-2.51
Mark Blount	36	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	7	2	15.4	15.8	-0.48	16.3	15.5	0.75
Joel Anthony	18	18	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	11	-6	14.7	15.9	-1.23	14.8	16.1	-1.30
Michael Beasley	17	16	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	8	0	16.9	15.4	1.58	14.4	16.1	-1.76
Chris Quinn	24	22	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	12	-8	16.2	15.4	0.81	15.4	16.0	-0.55
Yakhouba Diawara	32	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	14	-12	17.1	14.9	2.21	16.0	15.7	0.33
Jamaal Magloire	30	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	18	-20	16.1	15.4	0.66	16.8	15.3	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.82,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 104, UTA 119	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
BKN 74, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
PHX 77, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%