NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Excitement	3.3 [1173]		MVP	CJ Miles (UTA): +26.7%
Utah Jazz	119		Comeback	1.3 [1048]		LVP	Michael Beasley (MIN): -8.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	18	51%	0.05	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	9	80%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	50%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	45%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lazar Hayward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nikola Pekovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0.05	16	44%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.38	0.01	0.12	18	93%	0.28	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.00	20	58%	0.14	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	8	65%	0.07	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	14	50%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Cousin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	2	50%	0.02	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	35.2	15.0	26.1	1.8	28.2	131.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +50.1%

MIN -2.4%

UTA +4.9%

MIN -0.9%

MIN -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	13.6	15.6	15.5	105.1	121.4	105.7
season	14.3	15.9		102.7	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.1		108.2	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	12.0	13.1	15.1	13.6
UTA	15.4	13.7	16.9	17.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lazar Hayward	17	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-19	23	12.6	13.9	-1.27	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Anthony Randolph	32	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.28	7	-22	29	13.5	13.7	-0.20	16.1	15.4	0.75
Darko Milicic	54	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	-7	-1	13.6	13.7	-0.18	15.5	15.7	-0.15
Kevin Love	66	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-15	15	13.7	13.4	0.32	16.6	13.6	3.02
Wesley Johnson	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-9	3	14.1	13.3	0.80	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Luke Ridnour	65	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-9	3	13.2	14.4	-1.18	16.3	14.2	2.07
Michael Beasley	62	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-11	7	13.5	13.9	-0.41	15.5	15.8	-0.26
Wayne Ellington	45	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-5	-5	13.2	14.0	-0.80	16.6	14.8	1.81
Nikola Pekovic	11	12	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.19	-16	1	-17	14.1	13.6	0.51	12.4	16.1	-3.64
Jonny Flynn	34	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-6	-3	14.4	13.2	1.18	14.2	16.3	-2.07
Anthony Tolliver	30	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-4	-7	13.2	13.8	-0.63	13.7	16.5	-2.76
Martell Webster	41	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	1	-17	14.6	13.0	1.58	15.7	15.5	0.18

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	79	80	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.18	21	-6	27	16.0	13.9	2.07	13.7	13.4	0.33
Raja Bell	48	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	4	7	15.9	15.3	0.64	14.3	13.0	1.33
CJ Miles	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.18	17	-2	19	15.9	15.0	0.94	13.5	13.9	-0.34
Earl Watson	47	48	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	9	-3	15.1	16.0	-0.89	14.1	13.2	0.95
Jeremy Evans	34	35	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	12	-9	13.3	16.8	-3.55	12.9	14.0	-1.12
Andrei Kirilenko	65	67	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.12	13	2	11	16.4	14.1	2.25	13.9	13.1	0.80
Derrick Favors	50	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	13	-11	15.7	15.5	0.14	13.3	13.9	-0.57
Devin Harris	54	54	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	9	-3	16.0	15.2	0.82	13.1	14.3	-1.16
Gordon Hayward	33	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	16	-17	14.6	16.1	-1.47	13.6	13.6	-0.03
Kyrylo Fesenko	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	15	-15	15.2	15.7	-0.53	13.8	13.6	0.22
Marcus Cousin	3	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	18	-21	15.0	15.6	-0.63	12.0	13.7	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 84, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
BKN 74, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CLE 78, BOS 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%