NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	84		Excitement	3.4 [1096]		MVP	Stephen Graham (CHA): +8.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	94		Comeback	1.2 [851]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -12.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	10	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	10	71%	0.06	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	18	57%	0.06	5	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	56%	-0.00	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Redd	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	6	73%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	6	79%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	13	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	39%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	17	42%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	4	10%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	13	40%	-0.03	6	-0.10	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	0.7	28.6	14.0	25.1	1.7	34.2	130.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +28.7%

CHA +10.6%

CHA +7.1%

CHA +3.8%

MIL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	13.6	16.5	15.3	87.5	98.9	106.0
season	15.5	16.2		103.3	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.7	15.3	13.9	12.7	13.6
CHA	16.8	14.1	16.8	18.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	23	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-18	26	13.2	13.8	-0.54	17.0	16.4	0.64
Ersan Ilyasova	43	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-12	14	13.7	13.6	0.09	16.6	16.5	0.11
Kurt Thomas	10	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-5	0	14.3	13.5	0.75	18.2	16.3	1.85
Carlos Delfino	22	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	-3	-4	14.2	13.5	0.72	14.9	17.0	-2.17
Charlie Bell	15	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-11	12	11.9	14.0	-2.08	17.9	16.3	1.60
Andrew Bogut	38	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-2	-6	14.3	13.2	1.06	15.8	17.1	-1.29
Brandon Jennings	82	80	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-8	6	13.7	13.3	0.40	16.7	15.9	0.73
Jodie Meeks	51	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-11	12	12.8	14.6	-1.75	17.2	15.8	1.42
Hakim Warrick	44	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-6	2	13.0	14.1	-1.07	17.3	15.9	1.37
Michael Redd	34	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	5	-20	15.0	12.9	2.13	14.6	17.6	-3.05
Luc Mbah a Moute	71	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-3	-4	14.0	12.7	1.28	16.4	16.9	-0.45
Luke Ridnour	47	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	4	-18	13.3	14.0	-0.72	16.8	16.3	0.46

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	57	58	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.16	24	-14	38	16.2	17.0	-0.80	13.6	13.7	-0.19
Gerald Wallace	86	85	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	1	8	17.0	12.7	4.29	13.4	15.1	-1.66
Stephen Jackson	68	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	0	10	16.3	17.2	-0.89	14.0	12.5	1.49
D.J. Augustin	33	31	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	5	0	16.4	16.6	-0.28	14.0	13.5	0.51
Stephen Graham	36	35	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	2	6	15.9	16.9	-1.02	13.7	13.6	0.19
Raymond Felton	62	65	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	5	0	16.6	16.4	0.28	13.5	14.0	-0.51
Derrick Brown	10	10	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.13	1	9	-8	15.8	16.6	-0.84	15.0	13.5	1.53
Boris Diaw	69	71	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	14	-18	17.1	15.2	1.92	12.5	16.7	-4.18
DeSagana Diop	24	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	5	0	15.5	16.9	-1.40	14.5	13.3	1.22
Nazr Mohammed	24	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	11	-12	16.0	16.7	-0.73	14.6	13.3	1.33
Gerald Henderson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	22.0	16.4	5.63	14.7	13.6	1.08
Acie Law	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	22.0	16.4	5.63	14.7	13.6	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 104, UTA 119	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
NOH 99, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
PHX 104, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%