NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	99		Excitement	2.7 [1224]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +14.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	110		Comeback	1.1 [1303]		LVP	Marcus Thornton (NOH): -7.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.00	0.06	10	74%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	14	62%	0.06	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bobby Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	11	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Devin Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	9	27%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	10	45%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.00	0.04	10	87%	0.14	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.00	8	89%	0.15	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	54%	0.02	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	47%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.4	27.7	16.7	25.8	1.8	28.4	129.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.7%

LAL +11.0%

LAL +5.4%

NOH -2.6%

LAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAL	NBA	NOH	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	13.9	15.3	100.0	113.4	106.0
season	15.5	15.7		106.0	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.2		103.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.2	16.4	17.9	11.8	15.5
LAL	13.7	11.3	13.4	17.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	45	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.37	12	-23	35	12.9	17.7	-4.86	15.3	12.6	2.72
Julian Wright	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.33	10	-21	31	12.1	17.5	-5.35	15.4	13.0	2.39
Bobby Brown	38	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-16	21	13.0	17.1	-4.08	15.7	12.8	2.88
Hilton Armstrong	27	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-6	1	14.3	16.0	-1.63	14.2	13.7	0.41
Devin Brown	50	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-4	-3	17.2	13.8	3.44	13.1	14.6	-1.41
Emeka Okafor	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	0	-11	17.1	12.6	4.51	13.2	15.2	-2.01
Darren Collison	69	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	0	-11	15.9	14.7	1.22	13.4	14.9	-1.44
Marcus Thornton	52	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-3	-5	14.0	17.2	-3.15	14.5	13.1	1.39
James Posey	60	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.09	-17	6	-23	17.4	12.6	4.87	12.9	15.2	-2.30
David West	54	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.19	-23	12	-35	17.7	12.9	4.86	12.6	15.3	-2.72

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	53	52	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.17	20	-9	29	12.1	16.0	-3.84	15.8	15.2	0.66
Shannon Brown	47	47	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	4	3	14.4	13.3	1.15	14.3	16.6	-2.36
Kobe Bryant	65	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	-5	21	12.8	16.1	-3.29	17.2	12.2	5.00
Andrew Bynum	66	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	4	3	13.4	14.7	-1.30	16.9	12.6	4.27
Pau Gasol	57	60	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	-1	13	13.1	14.9	-1.82	16.6	13.9	2.71
Jordan Farmar	50	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	9	-7	14.6	13.1	1.45	14.0	17.2	-3.21
Metta World Peace	53	56	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	2	7	13.5	14.3	-0.80	16.6	14.2	2.39
Derek Fisher	47	48	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	2	7	13.1	14.6	-1.45	17.2	14.0	3.21
Adam Morrison	22	23	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.36	-12	23	-35	17.7	12.7	5.01	11.0	16.9	-5.82
Josh Powell	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	19	-27	19.0	12.8	6.16	9.5	16.8	-7.23
Sasha Vujacic	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	18	-25	20.2	13.2	7.02	6.7	16.4	-9.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	97.1%
DAL 65, UTA 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
DEN 78, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%