inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 89 Excitement3.0 [1203] MVPJosh Richardson (MIA): +14.6%
Miami Heat 107 Comeback1.1 [1044] LVPMarcus Morris (DET): -14.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0.130,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.160.000.041084%0.151-0.025100%0.02
Steve Blake0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.010.042133%0.0500.002100%0.00
Aron Baynes0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.010.03671%0.0500.002100%-0.00
Andre Drummond0.010,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.02950%0.031-0.02633%-0.02
Reggie Jackson0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.021848%0.0000.008100%0.03
Reggie Bullock0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0720%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Darrun Hilliard-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.06667%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Stanley Johnson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.13-0.00-0.03911%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.00617%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.24-0.00-0.1076%-0.076-0.07250%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.150.000.01989%0.1500.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.021059%0.082-0.03786%0.01
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.00-0.01861%0.051-0.01250%-0.01
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.011346%0.0200.0000%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.080.000.071573%0.054-0.0400%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01450%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.010.051354%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.01943%-0.0000.00367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.63.426.017.631.22.828.2131.8
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +37.0%
DET -2.8%
MIA +6.0%
MIA +7.3%
MIA +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMIANBADETMIANBA
this game15.016.114.996.7115.1105.1
season15.015.5104.9104.5
opponent15.115.1103.1105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.417.312.615.315.0
MIA14.015.516.918.116.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Bullock77-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-171614.415.1-0.6717.116.01.14
Spencer Dinwiddie77-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-171614.415.1-0.6717.116.01.14
Joel Anthony77-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-171614.415.1-0.6717.116.01.14
Darrun Hilliard2728-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-161413.615.6-2.0017.415.51.87
Steve Blake2829-0.13-0.370.23-0.05-3-151216.714.32.4016.016.1-0.13
Stanley Johnson3737-0.14-0.360.21-0.06-3-151215.414.80.5615.416.6-1.18
Aron Baynes2627-0.17-0.330.160.00-6-12616.514.52.0316.216.00.19
Anthony Tolliver4647-0.25-0.250.000.07-11-7-415.015.1-0.0915.916.3-0.43
Tobias Harris5857-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-11-7-414.516.0-1.4716.016.2-0.18
Andre Drummond5959-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.00-11-7-414.516.1-1.5915.916.4-0.51
Marcus Morris5355-0.36-0.14-0.220.02-13-5-816.113.62.5715.916.3-0.34
Reggie Jackson5757-0.37-0.13-0.230.04-14-4-1014.316.3-1.9616.016.2-0.22
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope4848-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.00-13-5-815.214.90.2616.216.00.17

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Richardson68660.490.010.47-0.0719-12016.116.00.0615.414.21.13
Luol Deng66660.410.090.31-0.1519-12015.617.2-1.5515.513.81.67
Justise Winslow57560.350.150.200.00126616.515.50.9614.815.4-0.61
Dwyane Wade47470.340.160.180.05108216.515.70.7715.314.80.48
Hassan Whiteside54530.340.160.18-0.04135816.116.1-0.0315.514.50.97
Joe Johnson56550.240.26-0.020.13414-1016.116.10.0514.815.4-0.61
Goran Dragic67670.170.33-0.150.03513-815.717.1-1.4314.616.2-1.53
Udonis Haslem10100.160.34-0.17-0.07810-215.816.1-0.3215.215.00.18
Gerald Green770.000.50-0.50-0.03117-1617.116.01.1414.415.1-0.67
Josh McRoberts440.000.50-0.50-0.06216-1418.016.02.0014.015.1-1.09
Amar'e Stoudemire2929-0.000.50-0.500.09-321-2416.216.00.1814.215.4-1.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 71, HOU 830.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
UTA 69, SAS 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
ORL 94, MEM 1030.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,196.8%