NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	4.2 [927]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +11.6%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	1.1 [1228]		LVP	Elden Campbell (LAL): -16.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.01
George McCloud	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	0.00	0.09	5	75%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Byron Scott	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie Jones	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	15	50%	0.06	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	12	37%	-0.10	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.18	-0.00	-0.02	6	21%	-0.06	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	15	78%	0.20	5	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.02	12	56%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	7	64%	0.06	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	0.00	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	11	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	-0.00	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	28.1	17.5	29.4	1.8	29.2	130.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.4%

UTA +7.4%

LAL -0.9%

UTA +2.3%

UTA +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.7	14.5	15.6	96.7	108.6	104.4
season	15.3	15.6		105.8	110.8
opponent	16.0	15.7		102.2	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	19.8	16.2	14.8	15.8	16.7
UTA	10.2	15.8	16.5	15.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	53	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.28	9	-21	30	15.8	17.8	-1.95	14.5	14.4	0.17
George McCloud	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.29	7	-19	26	14.6	17.1	-2.48	18.9	13.7	5.16
Corie Blount	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-14	16	14.7	17.7	-2.91	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Jerome Kersey	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-7	2	15.9	17.0	-1.17	12.9	15.2	-2.31
Travis Knight	23	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-8	4	13.5	17.7	-4.20	15.0	14.3	0.65
Elden Campbell	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-3	-6	17.6	16.0	1.54	13.0	15.5	-2.49
Byron Scott	30	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	2	-16	17.4	16.3	1.13	14.5	14.5	0.06
Sean Rooks	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-5	-2	16.8	16.5	0.23	15.2	13.6	1.57
Kobe Bryant	62	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-7	2	17.4	15.1	2.34	15.5	12.2	3.34
Robert Horry	64	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	3	-18	17.9	14.0	3.90	13.7	16.2	-2.44
Eddie Jones	67	67	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.13	-19	7	-26	17.3	15.0	2.35	14.3	14.9	-0.62

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	69	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-3	18	14.5	14.5	-0.04	16.8	16.4	0.38
Shandon Anderson	40	39	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.02	13	-1	14	15.7	13.5	2.15	16.8	16.5	0.30
Greg Foster	40	40	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-2	16	14.2	14.6	-0.39	18.2	15.5	2.66
Adam Keefe	50	47	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.05	10	2	8	14.4	14.5	-0.11	16.4	17.0	-0.59
Antoine Carr	14	14	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	0	12	12.1	14.9	-2.74	18.7	16.3	2.41
Bryon Russell	59	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	5	2	14.9	13.8	1.12	17.0	16.1	0.87
Greg Ostertag	41	42	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	9	-6	14.1	14.7	-0.58	17.1	16.3	0.78
Jeff Hornacek	53	53	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	13	-14	13.5	15.7	-2.15	16.5	16.8	-0.30
Karl Malone	65	64	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	14	-16	14.4	14.7	-0.29	16.2	17.8	-1.60
Howard Eisley	24	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	15	-18	14.5	14.5	0.04	16.4	16.8	-0.38
Chris Morris	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	18.4	14.2	4.15	6.7	17.1	-10.38
Stephen Howard	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	18.4	14.2	4.15	6.7	17.1	-10.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 74, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ATL 106, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
POR 87, NOH 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%