NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	86		Excitement	4.6 [878]		MVP	Marcus Thornton (NOH): +14.7%
New Orleans Hornets	78		Comeback	1.2 [828]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -12.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.03	19	51%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	3	77%	0.08	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Martell Webster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	13	41%	0.02	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Blake	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	7	21%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	16	38%	0.01	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.02
Rudy Fernandez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Oden	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	11	27%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	15	62%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Julian Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.01	0.08	14	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	39%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	3	30%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	8	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	28.7	15.8	32.3	1.7	32.3	139.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +23.3%

POR +7.9%

POR +20.8%

NOH -1.4%

NOH -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOH	NBA	POR	NOH	NBA
this game	17.4	14.2	15.3	93.5	86.7	106.0
season	16.7	15.5		108.8	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.6		108.3	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	15.9	17.0	23.0	17.4
NOH	15.2	14.0	15.0	12.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	58	57	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-11	30	18.3	15.9	2.40	15.2	12.5	2.74
Andre Miller	65	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-11	30	18.5	14.7	3.80	15.1	12.0	3.08
Brandon Roy	70	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-9	26	17.7	16.7	0.98	14.7	12.4	2.30
LaMarcus Aldridge	50	52	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-6	20	18.9	15.7	3.23	15.5	12.4	3.01
Greg Oden	51	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	1	6	18.3	16.3	2.04	15.2	12.8	2.38
Joel Przybilla	37	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	3	2	16.2	18.3	-2.07	13.9	14.4	-0.54
Juwan Howard	4	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	17.2	17.4	-0.18	4.0	14.7	-10.66
Dante Cunningham	4	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	17.2	17.4	-0.18	4.0	14.7	-10.66
Martell Webster	27	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	14	-20	16.6	17.8	-1.12	13.1	14.6	-1.51
Travis Outlaw	42	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	14	-20	15.7	18.9	-3.23	12.7	15.3	-2.55
Rudy Fernandez	27	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.17	-8	16	-24	15.6	18.2	-2.59	13.2	14.6	-1.42
Jerryd Bayless	25	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.28	-13	21	-34	14.7	18.4	-3.77	11.3	15.2	-3.82

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	17	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-13	18	14.0	14.2	-0.23	14.7	18.0	-3.33
Julian Wright	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-10	12	3.7	14.6	-10.89	14.3	17.5	-3.19
Darren Collison	49	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.29	9	-17	26	13.6	14.9	-1.27	18.0	16.7	1.35
Marcus Thornton	45	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.31	9	-17	26	13.6	14.8	-1.18	18.5	16.5	1.98
Hilton Armstrong	10	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-9	10	8.6	14.9	-6.29	13.7	17.9	-4.18
James Posey	44	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-12	16	14.3	14.1	0.21	18.0	16.9	1.02
Sean Marks	30	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-5	2	14.4	14.1	0.37	15.2	18.6	-3.48
Emeka Okafor	43	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-3	-2	15.0	13.5	1.46	19.7	15.3	4.37
Devin Brown	38	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	7	-22	14.5	13.9	0.58	16.9	17.8	-0.84
Peja Stojakovic	45	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	6	-20	14.1	14.3	-0.16	16.8	18.1	-1.33
Chris Paul	57	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.01	-17	9	-26	14.7	13.4	1.30	16.5	19.2	-2.70
David West	69	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	8	-24	15.1	11.1	3.97	18.4	14.2	4.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 104, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.7%
LAL 105, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.7%
POR 117, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%