NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	3.9 [995]		MVP	Mario Bennett (LAL): +9.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	1.2 [978]		LVP	Bob Sura (CLE): -15.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Bennett	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	12	84%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	8	75%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	14	62%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	8	44%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	23	49%	0.03	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.04
Derek Fisher	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	3	40%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.20	-0.01	0.12	15	83%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carl Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Scott Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.03	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	0.00	19	42%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	10	37%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.03	0.06	11	42%	-0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	26.4	17.5	26.4	2.4	27.2	127.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +43.9%

CLE -3.0%

LAL +13.1%

CLE -5.4%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.8	17.0	15.6	115.4	103.3	102.5
season	14.8	15.4		110.0	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		97.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	15.7	11.4	16.5	14.8
CLE	16.9	17.0	18.6	15.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	78	75	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-3	18	14.9	14.2	0.77	16.7	18.5	-1.73
Mario Bennett	66	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-5	22	15.4	13.2	2.28	16.8	17.6	-0.82
Nick Van Exel	58	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-3	18	15.3	14.0	1.23	17.1	16.9	0.23
Eddie Jones	91	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	14.8	0.0	14.81	17.0	0.0	17.02
Rick Fox	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	6	0	15.3	13.6	1.73	17.0	17.0	0.09
Kobe Bryant	45	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	11	-10	13.9	15.7	-1.83	17.4	16.6	0.76
Jon Barry	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	12	-12	9.5	15.2	-5.69	16.2	17.1	-0.87
Derek Fisher	33	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	15	-18	14.0	15.3	-1.23	16.9	17.1	-0.23
Elden Campbell	13	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	15	-18	14.2	14.9	-0.77	18.5	16.7	1.73

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Brooks	10	10	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-18	24	16.5	17.1	-0.59	9.0	15.5	-6.53
Carl Thomas	21	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-12	12	16.5	17.2	-0.71	11.4	15.9	-4.55
Derek Anderson	52	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.26	6	-18	24	16.7	17.5	-0.87	15.0	14.5	0.54
Danny Ferry	56	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-9	6	17.0	17.1	-0.15	15.5	13.7	1.77
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	63	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-8	4	16.5	18.3	-1.87	14.9	14.6	0.37
Wesley Person	82	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-8	4	16.9	18.7	-1.90	14.4	18.3	-3.92
Cedric Henderson	43	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.21	-23	11	-34	17.7	16.4	1.34	16.5	13.3	3.26
Bob Sura	76	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	3	-18	17.1	16.5	0.62	14.8	14.7	0.12
Brevin Knight	47	48	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.11	-23	11	-34	18.1	15.8	2.27	15.6	14.0	1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 110, PHX 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	96.2%
LAL 115, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
IND 101, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%