NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Excitement	4.8 [902]		MVP	Steven Adams (OKC): +9.2%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	1.2 [1001]		LVP	Raymond Felton (OKC): -7.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	15	74%	0.15	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	7	67%	0.08	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
Nerlens Noel	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.06	8	63%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Paul George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.07	22	58%	0.07	5	-0.09	11	100%	0.03
Hamidou Diallo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	15	47%	0.06	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Deonte Burton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.02	0.07	7	82%	0.02	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	0.00	0.09	19	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	16	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	44%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	0.05	19	52%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.7	23.2	14.7	30.0	1.7	34.2	133.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +13.4%

OKC +14.4%

OKC +24.9%

PHX -6.4%

OKC +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	13.8	14.2	14.3	105.8	98.0	109.3
season	12.9	14.4		108.9	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.9		114.0	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.8	13.5	12.4	16.3	13.8
PHX	15.5	14.7	14.8	11.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	87	86	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-2	14	13.5	15.1	-1.63	14.1	14.7	-0.56
Dennis Schroder	76	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	1	8	13.6	14.1	-0.44	14.9	12.5	2.36
Jerami Grant	68	67	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-4	18	13.7	13.9	-0.21	15.0	12.7	2.37
Hamidou Diallo	40	38	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	3	4	13.7	13.7	-0.00	16.8	12.7	4.06
Nerlens Noel	25	24	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.08	12	-2	14	13.2	13.9	-0.72	14.0	14.3	-0.28
Steven Adams	79	78	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	12	-14	13.9	13.2	0.72	14.3	14.0	0.28
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	56	56	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	14	-18	14.0	13.5	0.46	12.5	16.3	-3.80
Raymond Felton	32	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	9	-8	13.5	13.9	-0.41	12.7	14.9	-2.21
Patrick Patterson	36	35	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	14	-18	13.9	13.7	0.21	12.7	15.0	-2.37
Deonte Burton	21	21	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.10	5	5	0	15.1	13.4	1.75	14.5	14.1	0.39

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Anthony Melton	23	23	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-13	16	13.2	14.5	-1.35	12.1	14.2	-2.08
Josh Jackson	38	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-13	16	13.4	14.7	-1.22	12.6	14.4	-1.82
Dragan Bender	15	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-8	6	14.8	14.1	0.69	11.2	14.2	-3.01
Jamal Crawford	52	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-12	14	12.3	16.2	-3.81	14.2	13.3	0.93
Deandre Ayton	76	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-13	16	13.9	15.1	-1.16	13.9	13.4	0.49
Richaun Holmes	26	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	3	-16	15.1	13.9	1.16	13.4	13.9	-0.49
T.J. Warren	86	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-2	-6	14.2	14.4	-0.26	14.2	11.2	3.01
Isaiah Canaan	49	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.03	-15	5	-20	16.0	12.6	3.43	13.6	13.9	-0.34
Mikal Bridges	63	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	3	-16	14.8	13.3	1.55	14.4	12.7	1.67
Devin Booker	82	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	0	-10	14.5	13.2	1.26	14.0	12.5	1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.2%
LAL 102, DEN 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
LAL 123, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%