NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	115		Excitement	3.9 [1060]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +12.5%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.5 [406]		LVP	Doug Christie (SAC): -12.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.03	0.03	16	69%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.02	17	70%	0.17	4	-0.07	10	80%	-0.00
Brian Cook	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	61%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.07	9	75%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	14	53%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	18	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erik Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	14	67%	0.01	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	10	29%	-0.07	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	3.4	26.4	18.7	24.0	3.6	30.4	128.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +48.9%

LAL +2.6%

SAC -0.4%

SAC -2.9%

LAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	17.4	13.9	15.5	125.0	107.6	104.0
season	15.7	14.7		105.8	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.3		106.4	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.6	17.3	17.2	19.8	17.4
SAC	13.2	14.0	16.3	12.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	67	67	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.14	24	-8	32	16.7	19.4	-2.71	14.5	12.2	2.36
Chucky Atkins	58	59	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.17	24	-8	32	16.4	19.1	-2.73	14.3	13.1	1.23
Kobe Bryant	79	79	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	1	14	17.5	16.9	0.58	14.1	12.5	1.56
Lamar Odom	70	71	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	1	14	17.4	17.5	-0.16	13.9	13.9	0.03
Chris Mihm	39	39	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	6	4	16.6	18.1	-1.49	15.3	12.8	2.52
Brian Cook	47	45	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	12	-8	18.7	16.0	2.70	12.4	15.3	-2.81
Tierre Brown	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	18	-20	18.6	16.5	2.10	13.2	14.4	-1.19
Jumaine Jones	35	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	13	-10	18.7	16.7	1.99	13.6	14.1	-0.49
Vlade Divac	6	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	14	-12	12.7	17.8	-5.09	14.9	13.8	1.09
Luke Walton	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	18.2	17.4	0.79	10.6	14.1	-3.47
Slava Medvedenko	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	18.2	17.4	0.79	10.6	14.1	-3.47
Sasha Vujacic	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	18.2	17.4	0.79	10.6	14.1	-3.47

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	23	24	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-19	22	11.8	14.6	-2.74	20.4	16.4	3.99
Greg Ostertag	2	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-16	16	22.0	13.7	8.30	12.0	17.5	-5.48
Kevin Martin	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-21	26	10.6	14.1	-3.47	18.2	17.4	0.79
Erik Daniels	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	9.9	14.3	-4.42	18.9	17.2	1.66
Maurice Evans	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	9.9	14.3	-4.42	18.9	17.2	1.66
Darius Songaila	45	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-18	20	12.7	15.0	-2.29	18.5	16.4	2.15
Bobby Jackson	43	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-11	6	13.3	14.4	-1.09	18.4	16.6	1.72
Peja Stojakovic	71	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-2	-12	14.3	12.5	1.82	17.2	18.1	-0.94
Brad Miller	71	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	-2	-12	14.4	12.1	2.31	17.5	17.1	0.47
Mike Bibby	69	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.04	-19	3	-22	14.6	11.8	2.74	16.4	20.4	-3.99
Chris Webber	57	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.17	-24	8	-32	14.5	12.9	1.61	16.2	19.2	-3.00
Doug Christie	56	56	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.08	-22	6	-28	14.7	12.6	2.18	16.7	18.6	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.2%
TOR 101, VAN 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
UTA 103, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%