NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	4.2 [980]		MVP	Rasual Butler (IND): +12.2%
Orlando Magic	86		Comeback	1.6 [386]		LVP	Kyle O'Quinn (ORL): -11.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.06	0.04	13	63%	0.12	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Evan Turner	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	6	93%	0.16	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.02	-0.05	12	50%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	6	42%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.06	16	59%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donald Sloan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	117%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	12	48%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	2	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	12	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.05	8	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.06	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.0	26.3	15.6	23.7	2.5	25.3	118.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +45.7%

ORL -5.2%

IND +10.8%

ORL -1.8%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	16.8	14.9	15.1	112.2	93.5	105.2
season	15.8	15.3		102.7	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.9	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	17.3	14.6	19.4	16.8
ORL	14.7	13.5	16.7	14.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	69	71	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.10	17	-2	19	16.8	16.6	0.18	15.2	14.1	1.06
Luis Scola	46	46	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.04	15	0	15	15.8	17.7	-1.90	15.3	14.5	0.87
Evan Turner	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	2	11	16.1	18.7	-2.66	15.0	14.8	0.16
Roy Hibbert	32	34	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.05	13	2	11	16.3	17.0	-0.74	14.9	14.9	-0.05
Donald Sloan	58	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	7	1	17.0	16.3	0.74	15.1	14.5	0.62
George Hill	27	28	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	7	1	16.9	16.7	0.19	14.5	15.1	-0.65
Lavoy Allen	53	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	12	-9	17.4	15.8	1.56	14.9	14.9	0.07
Solomon Hill	49	51	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	16	-17	17.2	16.2	1.07	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Chris Copeland	49	51	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	16	-17	17.2	16.2	1.07	14.5	15.4	-0.90

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	12	12	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-19	23	14.7	14.9	-0.19	17.2	16.7	0.47
Jason Maxiell	10	8	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-16	17	16.1	14.8	1.33	16.1	16.8	-0.69
Ronnie Price	23	23	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-17	19	14.6	15.0	-0.46	17.3	16.6	0.74
Tobias Harris	20	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-8	1	13.1	15.4	-2.25	16.6	16.8	-0.14
Victor Oladipo	34	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-8	1	15.3	14.7	0.65	16.3	17.0	-0.76
Dewayne Dedmon	50	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	-4	-7	16.0	13.6	2.38	17.4	16.0	1.46
E'Twaun Moore	58	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-7	-1	14.7	15.3	-0.65	17.0	16.3	0.76
Kyle O'Quinn	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-8	1	15.5	14.5	1.04	15.6	17.7	-2.15
Andrew Nicholson	63	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-9	3	14.0	16.8	-2.75	17.1	15.9	1.19
Doron Lamb	77	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.08	-16	1	-17	14.9	15.1	-0.26	16.7	17.1	-0.37
Maurice Harkless	72	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.00	-20	5	-25	15.1	14.2	0.85	16.6	17.4	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.0%
PHI 116, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.37,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
UTA 103, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%