NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	3.4 [1100]		MVP	Greg Oden (POR): +16.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Comeback	2.0 [930]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -8.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Oden	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.02	0.00	10	82%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.02	11	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.03	0.04	9	73%	0.07	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.05	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	100%	0.06	4	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	60%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.05	9	58%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	2	37%	-0.00	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Blake	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.01	-0.05	9	72%	0.13	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	9	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nathan Jawai	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	58%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	15	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	8	33%	-0.03	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	29.0	14.8	22.3	3.3	30.6	126.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +27.1%

POR +6.0%

POR +8.1%

POR +5.4%

POR +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	17.3	14.4	15.3	118.9	91.3	106.0
season	16.7	14.7		108.8	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.6		109.8	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.6	17.8	16.8	16.4	17.3
MIN	15.0	16.5	14.5	12.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Oden	45	48	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	8	7	18.2	16.4	1.80	15.6	13.0	2.65
Rudy Fernandez	49	49	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.10	18	5	13	16.5	18.3	-1.74	15.0	13.6	1.46
Andre Miller	50	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	13	-3	18.4	15.9	2.47	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Travis Outlaw	44	45	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	9	5	16.2	18.4	-2.28	14.1	14.6	-0.53
Martell Webster	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	13	-3	16.6	18.2	-1.67	13.4	15.5	-2.01
Brandon Roy	47	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	10	3	18.0	16.5	1.51	15.1	13.5	1.59
Steve Blake	41	43	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.15	11	12	-1	18.6	16.2	2.36	15.2	13.7	1.51
LaMarcus Aldridge	46	47	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.12	9	14	-5	18.4	16.2	2.28	14.6	14.1	0.53
Joel Przybilla	45	44	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.17	8	15	-7	16.4	18.2	-1.80	13.0	15.6	-2.65
Dante Cunningham	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	17	-11	16.3	17.4	-1.12	10.6	14.7	-4.10
Jerryd Bayless	26	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	22	-21	15.1	18.2	-3.16	13.4	14.7	-1.36

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-15	7	9.3	14.7	-5.38	15.7	17.4	-1.77
Ryan Gomes	61	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.40	12	-35	47	14.3	14.5	-0.14	17.9	16.1	1.78
Nathan Jawai	27	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.22	-10	-13	3	15.1	14.1	1.01	16.5	17.6	-1.10
Wayne Ellington	31	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-18	13	14.1	14.5	-0.35	16.2	17.9	-1.76
Ryan Hollins	47	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	-18	13	15.3	13.4	1.96	18.4	16.2	2.28
Jonny Flynn	48	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.16	-14	-9	-5	14.1	14.7	-0.58	18.0	16.6	1.46
Ramon Sessions	55	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.19	-15	-8	-7	14.2	14.5	-0.30	16.5	18.5	-2.07
Damien Wilkins	9	9	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	-8	-7	16.7	14.1	2.56	16.8	17.4	-0.60
Corey Brewer	61	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.19	-18	-5	-13	14.5	14.1	0.35	17.9	16.2	1.76
Sasha Pavlovic	47	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	-5	-13	14.5	14.2	0.31	16.1	18.7	-2.59
Al Jefferson	68	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	-4	-15	13.8	16.0	-2.22	17.6	16.5	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
SAC 114, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
SAS 123, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%