NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	114		Excitement	3.8 [1037]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +10.1%
Utah Jazz	90		Comeback	1.8 [666]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -12.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	15	66%	0.10	2	-0.00	8	100%	0.03
Doug Christie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	100%	0.11	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	6	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	12	48%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0.00	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	14	47%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	0.01	-0.01	16	44%	-0.05	4	-0.07	11	100%	0.06

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	11	67%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	7	64%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	4	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	11	27%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.05	6	71%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	-0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	53%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	18	44%	-0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	28.5	17.7	31.1	2.8	26.0	131.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.3%

SAC +9.8%

SAC +5.4%

SAC +4.6%

UTA -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	15.6	120.0	92.8	102.3
season	14.2	16.1		106.6	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		101.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	13.3	15.3	16.6	14.7
UTA	17.0	15.4	14.1	14.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	63	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.33	28	-4	32	14.6	14.9	-0.38	15.5	15.0	0.48
Peja Stojakovic	78	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.23	23	1	22	15.0	13.4	1.62	15.5	14.5	0.99
Hedo Turkoglu	43	45	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.24	22	2	20	13.7	15.5	-1.80	15.2	15.4	-0.12
Mike Bibby	63	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	7	10	15.4	13.2	2.16	15.4	15.1	0.32
Chris Webber	69	71	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	13	-2	14.8	14.5	0.31	15.0	16.3	-1.31
Bobby Jackson	50	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.25	15	9	6	14.9	14.5	0.41	14.6	16.1	-1.56
Doug Christie	60	61	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	20	-16	14.4	15.1	-0.68	15.8	14.5	1.29
Vlade Divac	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	22	-20	15.8	14.2	1.65	16.4	14.8	1.62
Brent Price	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	11.7	15.0	-3.33	13.6	15.5	-1.91
Gerald Wallace	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	12.5	15.0	-2.52	14.3	15.4	-1.17

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	24	22	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.18	-6	-18	12	12.3	16.3	-4.01	15.9	14.3	1.53
John Amaechi	12	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-22	20	14.1	15.5	-1.40	14.1	14.8	-0.67
DeShawn Stevenson	37	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-16	8	15.0	15.5	-0.54	13.2	15.6	-2.44
Jarron Collins	55	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-20	16	15.8	14.6	1.18	14.1	15.4	-1.29
Andrei Kirilenko	67	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-15	6	15.8	14.2	1.61	15.2	13.5	1.78
Greg Ostertag	29	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-12	0	14.1	15.8	-1.67	12.9	15.4	-2.59
Quincy Lewis	26	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-14	4	15.5	15.2	0.31	13.5	15.2	-1.68
Karl Malone	64	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.17	-15	-9	-6	16.0	13.9	2.12	15.8	12.4	3.36
Scott Padgett	38	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.23	-18	-6	-12	15.3	15.3	-0.08	15.0	14.5	0.57
John Stockton	60	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-8	-8	15.5	15.0	0.54	15.6	13.2	2.44
Bryon Russell	73	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	-4	-16	15.4	14.9	0.52	14.3	15.7	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
SAS 123, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
POR 107, MIN 84	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%