NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	123		Excitement	4.2 [993]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +10.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	1.8 [1109]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MIL): -9.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.02	0.06	12	89%	0.18	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Jonathon Simmons	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.06	7	86%	0.12	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	78%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	12	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
David West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.07	9	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	73%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	58%	0.04	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	14	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	13	58%	0.04	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	55%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	32.2	15.6	26.2	2.4	28.5	129.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +32.2%

SAS +1.5%

SAS +10.5%

SAS +5.4%

SAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIL	NBA	SAS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	14.9	128.1	103.2	105.1
season	15.7	14.8		109.0	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.7		107.2	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.4	13.2	15.2	16.1	15.6
MIL	13.7	15.0	15.4	13.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	55	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.18	20	5	15	15.6	15.6	0.03	14.8	14.1	0.68
Jonathon Simmons	43	42	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.21	21	4	17	14.0	17.0	-2.99	14.2	14.8	-0.56
LaMarcus Aldridge	60	59	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	14	-3	15.6	15.7	-0.16	14.5	14.5	-0.00
Kawhi Leonard	61	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	8	9	16.1	14.8	1.34	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Boris Diaw	40	38	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.22	19	6	13	14.3	16.6	-2.27	14.9	14.2	0.70
Manu Ginobili	45	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	13	-1	14.3	16.8	-2.47	14.5	14.5	0.04
Tim Duncan	54	56	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.11	12	13	-1	15.9	15.3	0.56	14.2	15.0	-0.80
Ray McCallum	35	33	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	19	-13	15.6	15.7	-0.08	14.6	14.5	0.17
David West	28	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.10	5	20	-15	16.5	15.3	1.24	14.6	14.5	0.11
Matt Bonner	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	19.6	15.4	4.19	11.8	14.7	-2.88
Boban Marjanovic	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	22	-19	17.5	15.4	2.09	14.6	14.5	0.03
Danny Green	26	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	27	-29	17.8	14.8	3.05	15.0	14.3	0.66
Kyle Anderson	18	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	25	-25	16.9	15.3	1.62	15.5	14.3	1.17

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Copeland	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	14.6	14.5	0.03	17.3	15.4	1.89
Tyler Ennis	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	14.6	14.5	0.03	17.5	15.4	2.09
Miles Plumlee	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	13.3	14.7	-1.42	17.9	15.3	2.62
Michael Carter-Williams	63	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-18	11	13.9	15.7	-1.85	16.3	14.3	2.02
Johnny O'Bryant	13	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.15	-10	-15	5	15.2	14.4	0.73	17.3	15.3	1.95
John Henson	27	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.12	-10	-15	5	15.4	14.2	1.23	14.2	16.2	-1.98
Jerryd Bayless	16	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-17	9	15.0	14.4	0.57	12.2	16.3	-4.13
Giannis Antetokounmpo	61	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-19	13	14.8	14.0	0.77	15.2	16.2	-1.01
Rashad Vaughn	32	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.23	-16	-9	-7	15.6	14.0	1.61	14.5	16.2	-1.70
Khris Middleton	66	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.09	-13	-12	-1	14.1	15.5	-1.43	16.4	13.8	2.62
Jabari Parker	63	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-16	7	14.1	15.3	-1.23	16.2	14.6	1.60
Greg Monroe	57	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-13	1	14.4	14.8	-0.44	15.9	15.3	0.54
O.J. Mayo	48	50	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.24	-25	0	-25	15.1	14.0	1.13	14.1	17.3	-3.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
SAC 114, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
WAS 101, LAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%