inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 104 Excitement3.4 [1146] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +7.5%
Milwaukee Bucks 83 Comeback1.7 [364] LVPErick Strickland (MIL): -7.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.080,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.001659%0.101-0.032100%0.01
Devin Brown0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.01972%0.0710.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.010.04490%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Tony Parker0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.020.001065%0.103-0.0700%0.00
Manu Ginobili0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.01-0.00-0.04863%0.083-0.053100%0.01
Beno Udrih0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.00968%0.063-0.041100%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01658%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mike Wilks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Massenburg0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00167%-0.0000.004100%-0.00
Brent Barry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.04536%-0.0310.00475%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Desmond Mason0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.001264%0.081-0.024100%0.02
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.020.03961%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.01-0.01667%0.051-0.03367%-0.00
Zendon Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02267%0.011-0.00580%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02458%0.012-0.03475%0.00
Marcus Fizer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00850%0.003-0.0600%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.11-0.01-0.06240%-0.033-0.03667%-0.02
Michael Redd0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.021839%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.00617%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.00520%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.71.724.015.025.01.728.6119.6
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +42.3%
MIL -5.1%
SAS +5.1%
SAS +4.5%
SAS +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMILNBASASMILNBA
this game16.416.615.5118.295.4104.0
season16.316.0105.8104.4
opponent15.015.6107.498.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.316.916.416.016.4
MIL16.520.116.414.016.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Brown58570.57-0.070.65-0.1625-42915.917.2-1.2715.618.3-2.62
Malik Rose33330.320.180.14-0.181741317.215.81.4116.716.50.19
Rasho Nesterovic54530.300.200.09-0.09138516.616.00.6417.215.61.58
Tim Duncan52530.290.210.080.05813-516.616.00.5717.315.41.92
Tony Parker50470.280.220.07-0.011011-116.915.71.2018.114.73.38
Manu Ginobili48490.280.220.05-0.11138516.016.8-0.7518.114.53.64
Beno Udrih24270.220.28-0.07-0.16138517.116.11.0516.016.8-0.85
Bruce Bowen38380.100.40-0.290.10021-2117.415.51.9117.815.62.29
Robert Horry27260.100.40-0.31-0.02417-1315.416.8-1.4315.417.0-1.66
Brent Barry32300.050.45-0.40-0.07417-1316.416.40.0214.017.9-3.84
Mike Wilks14130.000.50-0.500.06-223-2513.217.0-3.7512.217.3-5.17
Tony Massenburg1090.000.50-0.500.00021-2113.616.7-3.1211.417.1-5.70

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Gadzuric50530.02-0.520.53-0.104-252915.418.1-2.6116.516.20.22
Joe Smith4140-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-191717.216.01.2217.415.51.85
Zendon Hamilton1616-0.10-0.410.310.08-6-15914.417.0-2.5916.416.40.01
Mo Williams3939-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-201916.816.40.4416.416.4-0.01
Desmond Mason5657-0.27-0.23-0.030.06-11-10-117.315.22.1116.815.61.21
Michael Redd6362-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.00-12-9-317.414.42.9516.915.21.66
Zaza Pachulia3032-0.35-0.15-0.210.03-13-8-516.816.40.3815.117.1-2.00
Erick Strickland4647-0.38-0.12-0.260.15-18-3-1515.517.7-2.1915.817.0-1.24
Mike James5759-0.39-0.11-0.280.23-210-2115.618.4-2.8215.917.3-1.41
Marcus Fizer3735-0.520.02-0.530.22-254-2918.115.42.6116.216.5-0.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 107, MIN 840.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
NYK 99, POR 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
SAS 103, MEM 830.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%