NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	94		Excitement	5.2 [753]		MVP	Carl Landry (HOU): +13.7%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	1.3 [1005]		LVP	Jeff Green (OKC): -19.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	25	61%	0.15	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	22	55%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
James Harden	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	8	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.03	-0.00	15	19%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.02	12	68%	0.16	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	-0.00	10	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	18	54%	0.13	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	90%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	13	63%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.02	-0.05	10	55%	0.09	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	0.8	28.6	15.7	23.3	1.8	32.2	128.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +56.3%

HOU +10.4%

OKC -13.2%

OKC -5.0%

HOU +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	15.1	15.3	94.9	109.4	106.0
season	15.0	15.0		106.2	106.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.8	15.6	14.9	11.4	14.4
HOU	17.0	13.2	13.3	17.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ White	22	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-11	11	11.3	15.3	-4.03	15.5	15.1	0.42
Shaun Livingston	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-8	5	15.3	14.3	0.98	13.5	15.4	-1.81
Kevin Ollie	28	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-9	7	13.9	14.6	-0.71	15.5	15.0	0.48
Nenad Krstic	41	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-8	5	16.2	13.1	3.06	14.4	15.6	-1.20
James Harden	21	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-3	-5	15.7	14.1	1.66	14.9	15.2	-0.31
Nick Collison	48	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-11	11	13.4	15.3	-1.88	14.5	15.8	-1.24
Thabo Sefolosha	62	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-8	5	14.4	14.4	0.04	15.3	14.9	0.41
Etan Thomas	24	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-1	-9	15.7	14.0	1.72	14.4	15.4	-0.94
Jeff Green	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	14.6	14.1	0.46	16.2	13.2	3.05
Kevin Durant	90	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-3	-5	14.2	16.2	-2.00	15.3	13.3	2.00
Russell Westbrook	85	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-2	-7	14.3	14.9	-0.61	15.0	16.1	-1.08

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	72	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-2	15	15.6	13.8	1.75	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Kyle Lowry	42	41	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-3	17	14.0	16.0	-1.95	14.4	14.4	0.06
Charles Hayes	52	54	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	8	-5	15.1	15.2	-0.02	15.3	13.4	1.92
Luis Scola	63	66	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	1	9	15.0	15.4	-0.33	14.6	14.0	0.65
Shane Battier	67	71	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	7	-3	15.3	14.7	0.60	14.8	13.4	1.41
Carl Landry	63	63	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	5	1	15.7	14.2	1.52	13.1	16.7	-3.69
Aaron Brooks	62	66	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	9	-7	15.7	14.2	1.46	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Chase Budinger	45	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	11	-11	14.5	15.7	-1.24	14.1	14.7	-0.58
David Andersen	14	15	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	8	-5	13.4	15.5	-2.09	15.9	14.1	1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 87, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DET 111, BOS 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.94,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	95.1%
SAC 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%