NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	4.3 [746]		MVP	Jeremy Lin (NYK): +14.7%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.2 [984]		LVP	Mike Bibby (NYK): -5.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	13	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
James Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Forbes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Solomon Alabi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	61%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	15	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	10	75%	0.21	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.07
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.04	0.05	13	67%	0.11	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.05	10	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Landry Fields	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	15	45%	0.00	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.6	30.6	17.5	29.6	1.8	34.5	142.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +14.4%

NYK +4.0%

NYK +20.9%

NYK +8.0%

NYK +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	15.6	93.5	112.8	102.8
season	16.5	14.9		98.9	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		100.2	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.9	16.1	15.3	17.0	16.3
NYK	13.1	16.6	13.5	15.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Alabi	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	15.5	16.3	-0.84	15.4	14.5	0.94
Gary Forbes	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-24	29	13.9	17.4	-3.50	16.5	13.6	2.92
Aaron Gray	15	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-16	13	17.7	16.0	1.63	12.3	14.9	-2.59
Jerryd Bayless	28	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-19	19	14.2	17.2	-2.93	15.0	14.3	0.62
Ed Davis	51	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-11	3	15.1	17.7	-2.58	14.8	14.2	0.64
Linas Kleiza	40	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-16	13	14.8	17.4	-2.59	15.8	13.6	2.23
James Johnson	54	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	-4	-11	17.1	15.1	2.02	13.4	16.3	-2.90
Amir Johnson	43	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-14	9	17.4	15.3	2.12	15.1	14.0	1.07
DeMar DeRozan	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.19	-19	0	-19	16.7	15.1	1.53	14.1	16.0	-1.89
Andrea Bargnani	62	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.22	-22	3	-25	17.1	14.6	2.53	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Jose Calderon	67	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.22	-27	8	-35	17.1	14.1	3.03	14.1	15.5	-1.42

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	60	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.31	28	-9	37	14.1	15.2	-1.14	17.5	14.3	3.16
Jeremy Lin	57	57	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.35	28	-9	37	13.7	15.7	-2.01	17.2	14.8	2.44
Tyson Chandler	57	54	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.25	24	-5	29	13.6	16.0	-2.41	17.4	14.8	2.55
Amar'e Stoudemire	66	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.25	23	-4	27	14.7	14.0	0.68	16.6	15.5	1.11
Landry Fields	46	45	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.29	20	-1	21	13.5	15.5	-2.06	17.9	14.8	3.12
Mike Bibby	23	23	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	17	-15	15.4	14.2	1.22	14.1	17.0	-2.88
Jared Jeffries	37	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	18	-17	15.6	13.8	1.74	14.9	17.3	-2.42
Iman Shumpert	44	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.29	-7	26	-33	15.3	13.8	1.48	15.2	17.3	-2.12
Steve Novak	31	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.21	-6	25	-31	15.3	14.1	1.21	15.4	16.8	-1.37
Josh Harrellson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	15.4	14.5	0.94	16.0	16.3	-0.32
Toney Douglas	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	15.4	14.5	0.94	16.0	16.3	-0.32
J.R. Smith	39	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.28	-10	29	-39	15.3	14.0	1.32	14.0	17.9	-3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, LAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIA 86, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.7%
SAC 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%