NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	4.1 [982]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +6.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	117		Comeback	1.2 [1179]		LVP	Jake Tsakalidis (PHX): -11.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	16	60%	0.06	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Alton Ford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	16	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	41%	-0.03	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	0.00	0.02	22	45%	-0.04	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	4	10%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	21	60%	0.10	2	-0.03	18	89%	0.03
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	79%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	14	69%	0.12	7	-0.12	7	86%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	52%	-0.02	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.7	26.6	16.3	24.3	1.8	34.3	131.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +41.5%

LAL +4.5%

PHX -2.5%

LAL +7.1%

PHX -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	13.5	15.6	91.3	115.8	102.3
season	15.1	15.3		101.0	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.8		99.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	15.1	15.8	14.3	14.7
LAL	14.0	11.6	14.8	14.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alton Ford	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-19	15	15.5	14.7	0.83	13.3	13.5	-0.18
Charlie Bell	30	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.18	-8	-15	7	14.6	14.8	-0.21	13.6	13.5	0.16
John Wallace	39	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-21	19	14.3	15.0	-0.74	14.0	13.2	0.85
Rodney Rogers	37	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-19	15	14.8	14.7	0.06	13.8	13.3	0.45
Jud Buechler	23	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-12	1	15.1	14.6	0.47	12.4	13.8	-1.46
Jake Voskuhl	19	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.19	-12	-11	-1	16.3	14.4	1.89	15.3	13.0	2.30
Jake Tsakalidis	63	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-16	9	14.4	15.2	-0.83	12.8	14.4	-1.55
Tom Gugliotta	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-15	7	15.0	14.4	0.63	13.1	13.9	-0.81
Anfernee Hardaway	83	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-8	-7	14.6	15.4	-0.85	13.5	13.3	0.19
Shawn Marion	79	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.18	-21	-2	-19	14.6	15.1	-0.48	13.6	13.3	0.24
Stephon Marbury	82	82	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	0.17	-23	0	-23	14.8	14.5	0.30	13.6	13.2	0.43

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	73	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.11	21	2	19	13.1	14.7	-1.62	15.1	13.7	1.43
Kobe Bryant	79	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	4	15	13.5	13.6	-0.17	14.9	14.2	0.62
Lindsey Hunter	67	70	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.03	16	7	9	13.4	13.6	-0.17	14.7	14.7	-0.01
Rick Fox	54	56	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	16	-9	14.1	12.8	1.34	14.4	15.0	-0.60
Slava Medvedenko	24	26	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.17	14	9	5	14.2	13.3	0.98	16.0	14.3	1.71
Robert Horry	61	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	16	-9	13.0	14.2	-1.23	14.0	15.8	-1.80
Devean George	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.25	16	7	9	12.8	14.1	-1.34	15.0	14.4	0.60
Mitch Richmond	49	48	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	17	-11	13.7	13.4	0.29	14.2	15.1	-0.92
Samaki Walker	31	31	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	24	-25	15.1	12.8	2.34	15.2	14.5	0.63
Jelani McCoy	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	18	-13	13.4	13.5	-0.10	13.1	14.9	-1.82
Mike Penberthy	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	18	-13	12.9	13.6	-0.68	14.6	14.7	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, CHA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
WAS 88, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
ORL 96, MIA 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%