NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	4.6 [891]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +13.6%
San Antonio Spurs	112		Comeback	1.3 [1173]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -8.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	78%	0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	7	75%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.07	17	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Ramon Sessions	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	17	67%	0.20	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	6	92%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	12	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.02	0.06	13	63%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	9	45%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	1.8	33.5	15.6	24.2	2.4	30.3	128.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.1%

SAS +2.2%

SAC -5.5%

SAS +11.5%

SAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SAS	NBA	SAC	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.7	15.1	109.5	117.9	104.2
season	14.9	15.4		103.7	106.9
opponent	14.9	14.8		101.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.8	13.5	16.5	14.2	14.7
SAS	15.2	14.7	17.8	15.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	15	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	-6	4	13.3	14.9	-1.58	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Ramon Sessions	27	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-2	-4	14.7	14.6	0.11	15.7	15.7	0.00
Derrick Williams	33	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-6	4	13.7	15.2	-1.43	16.0	15.4	0.60
Jason Thompson	59	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-6	4	15.3	13.6	1.78	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Rudy Gay	68	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-11	14	14.6	14.9	-0.32	15.7	15.6	0.10
Omri Casspi	27	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	3	-14	14.9	14.6	0.32	15.6	15.7	-0.10
Ryan Hollins	51	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	5	-18	15.2	14.1	1.07	15.8	15.5	0.23
Carl Landry	47	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-9	10	13.9	15.4	-1.44	15.4	15.9	-0.42
Darren Collison	68	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-6	4	14.6	14.7	-0.11	15.7	15.7	-0.00
Ben McLemore	80	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	14.9	13.3	1.58	15.7	15.4	0.31

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	46	45	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-3	14	15.4	15.9	-0.42	14.9	14.5	0.39
Tony Parker	77	76	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	3	2	15.5	16.1	-0.57	14.1	16.8	-2.66
Tim Duncan	62	65	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	0	8	15.7	15.6	0.12	15.3	13.3	1.99
Kawhi Leonard	75	76	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	7	-6	15.7	15.4	0.32	15.0	13.2	1.82
Boris Diaw	65	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	4	0	15.6	15.9	-0.31	14.8	14.3	0.53
Matt Bonner	30	30	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	4	0	15.9	15.6	0.31	14.3	14.8	-0.53
Marco Belinelli	28	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	5	-2	14.4	16.2	-1.79	13.7	15.1	-1.35
Aron Baynes	30	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	9	-10	15.6	15.7	-0.08	13.2	15.3	-2.00
Cory Joseph	18	19	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	5	-2	16.1	15.5	0.57	16.8	14.1	2.66
Danny Green	41	41	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	7	-6	16.6	14.9	1.73	14.4	14.9	-0.44
Jeff Ayres	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	7	-6	15.3	15.7	-0.33	14.0	14.7	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	95.7%
TOR 87, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
POR 99, MEM 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%