inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 83 Excitement6.0 [587] MVPSteve Blake (POR): +10.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder 74 Comeback1.7 [668] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -17.3%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Blake0.110,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.110.150.010.05990%0.141-0.032100%0.00
Andre Miller0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.040.001100%0.101-0.042100%0.02
Greg Oden0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.010.02586%0.083-0.054100%0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01550%0.0200.002100%0.01
Martell Webster0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.04-0.021238%0.031-0.02250%-0.02
Rudy Fernandez-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.03312%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Travis Outlaw-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.001050%0.033-0.08450%-0.00
Juwan Howard-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.030.00333%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Brandon Roy-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.011739%-0.041-0.03771%-0.03
Joel Przybilla-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.040.00425%-0.052-0.0600%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02-0.01367%0.0600.0000%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.00450%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nenad Krstic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.0440%-0.0300.0000%0.00
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01933%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.060.00250%0.012-0.1100%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.050.011268%0.159-0.261070%0.01
Jeff Green0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.02-0.080.051550%-0.053-0.10875%-0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.15-0.06-0.042030%-0.151-0.031471%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.629.815.726.42.538.5141.8
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +38.3%
OKC -4.6%
OKC -4.1%
POR +20.5%
OKC -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPOROKCNBAPOROKCNBA
this game17.815.915.396.587.1106.0
season16.715.0108.8106.2
opponent15.515.6103.1106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR16.816.720.017.617.8
OKC18.416.812.715.815.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Martell Webster72710.56-0.060.620.2112-31517.817.9-0.1514.622.5-7.94
Steve Blake59590.490.010.480.1113-41717.019.6-2.6614.419.3-4.95
Brandon Roy70690.480.020.450.1212-31518.017.10.9115.716.6-0.93
Greg Oden56570.410.090.330.1590916.919.4-2.5014.019.6-5.63
Travis Outlaw57550.400.100.300.3136-317.717.9-0.1915.416.7-1.28
LaMarcus Aldridge20200.230.27-0.04-0.1212-31517.617.9-0.2618.315.13.24
Joel Przybilla26240.060.44-0.370.12-211-1319.617.02.5420.214.25.99
Rudy Fernandez2122-0.010.51-0.520.11-413-1718.017.70.3219.814.55.33
Andre Miller3331-0.050.55-0.610.18-817-2518.617.31.3019.313.95.43
Juwan Howard1617-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-211-1318.917.51.3914.616.2-1.60

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Ollie25250.02-0.520.54-0.104-131718.214.93.3017.817.80.05
Nick Collison27270.02-0.520.53-0.197-162317.914.92.9619.117.21.96
James Harden2930-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-131718.414.53.9117.917.80.10
Etan Thomas4243-0.12-0.380.25-0.213-121518.113.74.4018.617.01.65
Nenad Krstic4141-0.38-0.12-0.250.01-134-1713.618.0-4.3716.718.8-2.19
Thabo Sefolosha5353-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.10-123-1514.118.8-4.6717.418.4-1.01
Kevin Durant7474-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.16-112-1315.220.4-5.1618.016.51.51
Russell Westbrook6061-0.520.02-0.54-0.14-134-1714.918.2-3.3017.817.8-0.05
Jeff Green7476-0.580.08-0.66-0.17-145-1916.014.71.3117.520.0-2.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.14,0.03,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 110, NJN 970.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,093.2%
MIA 103, LAL 920.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.36,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,093.1%
DAL 107, CHI 970.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.02,0,092.8%