NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	84		Excitement	6.0 [637]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +33.2%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	8.9 [140]		LVP	Metta World Peace (HOU): -13.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.00	7	57%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.01	10	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Shane Battier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Brian Cook	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.02	20	56%	0.08	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	10	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	13	34%	-0.06	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.11	0.22	-0.00	17	68%	0.38	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.00	23	58%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.01	7	79%	0.19	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	80%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	13	44%	0.00	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	9	22%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.6	32.3	19.4	30.5	3.6	32.3	143.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +58.0%

HOU -9.7%

DAL +1.1%

HOU -1.0%

DAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.2	15.5	91.3	105.6	106.4
season	16.3	15.6		105.9	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		107.1	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.2	15.2	16.3	18.5	16.4
DAL	13.7	14.8	14.3	18.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	7.5	16.6	-9.13	22.5	15.0	7.47
Charles Hayes	20	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-12	13	15.8	16.6	-0.81	14.5	15.4	-0.92
Metta World Peace	67	67	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-11	11	16.3	16.7	-0.39	14.9	16.1	-1.25
Luis Scola	44	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-2	-7	17.5	15.4	2.13	14.6	15.7	-1.04
Aaron Brooks	40	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	0	-11	16.5	16.4	0.16	14.0	16.1	-2.08
Von Wafer	40	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-4	-3	16.9	16.1	0.87	15.6	14.9	0.61
Kyle Lowry	55	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-9	7	16.1	17.0	-0.90	16.0	13.9	2.07
Carl Landry	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-7	3	15.8	17.2	-1.46	16.1	14.0	2.16
Yao Ming	67	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-1	-9	16.7	15.8	0.82	15.0	15.6	-0.58
Shane Battier	74	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	2	-15	16.5	16.2	0.26	15.1	15.5	-0.37

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	77	79	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.19	19	-8	27	15.1	15.5	-0.40	16.6	15.4	1.22
Jason Kidd	75	77	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-3	17	15.1	15.7	-0.56	16.7	15.3	1.40
Jason Terry	65	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	1	9	15.9	13.4	2.44	16.5	16.3	0.14
Josh Howard	67	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	0	11	15.1	15.5	-0.43	16.2	17.2	-0.98
Brandon Bass	46	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	7	-3	16.1	14.3	1.81	16.0	16.9	-0.87
Jose Juan Barea	48	50	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	10	-9	15.2	15.2	-0.07	17.2	15.5	1.63
James Singleton	1	1	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	9	-7	8.0	15.3	-7.28	2.0	16.6	-14.59
Ryan Hollins	23	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	8	-5	14.3	15.5	-1.14	16.2	16.5	-0.27
Antoine Wright	15	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	14	-17	13.3	15.6	-2.24	13.5	17.0	-3.46
Erick Dampier	33	36	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	17	-23	14.9	15.4	-0.46	17.1	16.0	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.71,0.54,0.81,0.9,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 107, GSW 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.47,0.45,0.89,0.97,0.95,1	90.8%
GSW 111, BOS 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.71,0.72,0.9,0.98,0.98,1,1	90.5%
CHI 89, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,1	90.2%