NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	107		Excitement	7.9 [267]		MVP	Christian Laettner (WAS): +20.0%
Golden State Warriors	113		Comeback	8.7 [245]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (WAS): -16.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.09	0.01	7	100%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jahidi White	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	23	51%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	14	36%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	8	44%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	21	38%	-0.09	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.07	0.02	24	67%	0.27	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	23	75%	0.41	8	-0.25	9	78%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.10	0.00	5	67%	0.16	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	40%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.07	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	4	44%	-0.01	2	-0.14	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	27.5	16.4	27.5	1.6	28.2	127.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +72.4%

GSW +11.4%

WAS -4.5%

WAS -32.9%

GSW +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	GSW	NBA	WAS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	13.6	15.5	109.2	115.3	101.6
season	16.5	14.6		100.9	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.4	15.7	13.8	19.0	15.8
GSW	11.3	15.0	14.4	14.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	40	40	0.34	-0.84	1.17	-0.05	13	-19	32	14.5	16.7	-2.14	14.2	13.2	1.02
Brendan Haywood	32	32	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.08	1	-7	8	13.6	16.9	-3.30	13.4	13.6	-0.20
Bobby Simmons	44	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-9	12	16.4	15.4	1.03	14.1	13.2	0.92
Jahidi White	44	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-5	4	16.3	15.4	0.87	14.1	13.2	0.92
Kwame Brown	41	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-4	2	18.4	13.9	4.51	14.1	13.2	0.92
Michael Jordan	86	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	16.0	14.2	1.78	13.3	15.5	-2.20
Jerry Stackhouse	77	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.15	-13	7	-20	14.4	21.2	-6.84	13.6	13.6	-0.03
Christian Laettner	73	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	6	-18	15.6	16.6	-1.00	13.0	15.2	-2.22
Tyronn Lue	53	53	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.30	-14	8	-22	17.3	14.0	3.32	13.2	14.1	-0.92

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	53	52	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-8	22	13.9	13.2	0.77	17.8	13.5	4.32
Gilbert Arenas	83	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-4	14	13.6	13.6	-0.03	15.0	21.0	-5.98
Antawn Jamison	92	91	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-1	8	13.5	14.2	-0.63	15.8	15.6	0.26
Adonal Foyle	39	38	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	4	-2	13.6	13.5	0.07	17.7	14.6	3.05
Earl Boykins	35	34	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	4	-2	14.5	13.0	1.51	18.8	14.2	4.60
Mike Dunleavy	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	5	-4	13.1	13.9	-0.84	17.0	14.9	2.12
Troy Murphy	41	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	6	-6	13.0	14.0	-1.07	13.4	17.6	-4.21
Erick Dampier	58	59	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.10	2	4	-2	13.7	13.4	0.33	14.9	17.2	-2.35
Jason Richardson	49	49	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.02	-8	14	-22	13.3	13.8	-0.53	13.6	18.0	-4.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.47,0.45,0.89,0.97,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.4,0.33,0.64,0.91,0.98,1	90.8%
DET 77, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.7,0.91,1,1	90.8%
HOU 84, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.71,0.54,0.81,0.9,1,1,1	90.8%