NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	111		Excitement	7.0 [434]		MVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): +21.5%
Boston Celtics	119		Comeback	6.9 [556]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (GSW): -7.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.05	0.02	18	70%	0.25	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.03
Corey Maggette	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.09	0.04	20	67%	0.27	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.00
CJ Watson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	4	100%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rob Kurz	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	42%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Anthony Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Brandan Wright	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	17	45%	0.03	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	-0.00	15	65%	0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.05	0.01	17	74%	0.25	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	1	100%	0.20	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.09	0.01	7	47%	0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.06	0.02	14	57%	0.19	5	-0.16	9	100%	0.07
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	23	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	37%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.4	33.4	15.3	26.2	2.5	32.5	140.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -10.6%

BOS +31.6%

BOS +36.1%

GSW -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BOS	NBA	GSW	BOS	NBA
this game	13.6	15.4	15.5	112.1	120.2	106.4
season	13.8	15.8		107.3	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.0		101.7	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.7	10.9	16.6	14.7	13.6
BOS	13.5	17.9	14.0	16.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rob Kurz	7	6	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-10	12	13.4	13.7	-0.23	18.0	15.3	2.72
Andris Biedrins	86	88	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-8	8	13.7	13.2	0.57	15.3	16.5	-1.24
Anthony Randolph	2	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	12.5	13.7	-1.17	12.3	15.5	-3.21
Ronny Turiaf	47	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-11	14	13.1	14.1	-0.95	16.7	14.5	2.23
CJ Watson	33	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-12	16	14.2	13.4	0.80	15.9	15.2	0.73
Brandan Wright	28	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.07	-10	2	-12	13.1	13.8	-0.70	13.6	16.2	-2.63
Kelenna Azubuike	45	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-1	-6	13.8	13.5	0.28	15.7	15.2	0.59
Stephen Jackson	93	92	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	13.6	14.7	-1.09	15.4	16.6	-1.21
Corey Maggette	77	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	-1	-6	13.7	13.4	0.31	15.7	14.7	1.03
Jamal Crawford	77	78	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.16	-17	9	-26	13.8	13.1	0.66	15.0	17.1	-2.16

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	84	82	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-7	22	15.2	16.9	-1.68	13.6	14.0	-0.43
Rajon Rondo	72	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.14	18	-10	28	15.4	15.6	-0.20	13.5	14.0	-0.42
Kevin Garnett	76	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-5	18	15.5	15.1	0.41	14.1	12.0	2.09
Ray Allen	79	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-1	10	15.6	15.0	0.56	14.1	11.7	2.43
Tony Allen	42	42	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	7	-6	16.1	14.9	1.21	13.7	13.6	0.16
Kendrick Perkins	60	61	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	2	4	14.9	16.2	-1.26	13.5	13.9	-0.49
Brian Scalabrine	16	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	8	-8	15.7	15.4	0.29	11.7	14.0	-2.33
Leon Powe	12	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	13	-18	16.3	15.3	1.01	11.3	14.0	-2.75
Glen Davis	26	26	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	15	-22	15.6	15.4	0.18	13.7	13.6	0.11
Eddie House	28	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.12	-10	18	-28	15.1	15.6	-0.42	14.0	13.5	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.71,0.72,0.9,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 112, HOU 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.33,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.66,0.7,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.97,1,1	91.1%
SAC 90, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.69,0.97,0.99,1,1	90.7%
HOU 84, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.71,0.54,0.81,0.9,1,1,1	90.5%