NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Excitement	7.8 [306]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (CLE): +20.3%
Houston Rockets	117		Comeback	6.3 [387]		LVP	Iman Shumpert (CLE): -8.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.01	0.01	6	133%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	6	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	125%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.15	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.11,0.11,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.01	20	70%	0.27	8	-0.29	3	67%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.03	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	23	54%	0.05	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.02
JR Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	9	35%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.13,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	28	56%	0.27	4	-0.10	12	67%	-0.03
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.01	10	60%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	10	54%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	7	36%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	10	48%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	29.7	15.7	26.0	2.8	39.2	140.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -36.4%

HOU +11.4%

HOU +41.9%

HOU +32.6%

HOU +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	HOU	NBA	CLE	HOU	NBA
this game	16.1	14.2	14.8	119.1	121.9	107.7
season	14.9	13.7		113.5	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		108.1	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	15.5	17.7	16.3	16.1
HOU	15.6	13.3	13.6	14.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	31	30	0.43	-0.93	1.36	-0.10	18	-23	41	15.0	16.7	-1.75	13.9	14.3	-0.48
Derrick Williams	23	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-7	9	15.0	16.5	-1.51	11.0	15.3	-4.32
Deron Williams	45	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.33	10	-15	25	15.4	16.8	-1.37	13.5	14.9	-1.43
Richard Jefferson	60	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-8	11	16.7	15.1	1.69	14.9	13.1	1.78
Iman Shumpert	58	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	2	-9	16.6	15.5	1.08	14.7	13.5	1.15
JR Smith	42	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	5	-15	15.8	16.4	-0.55	13.6	14.8	-1.21
LeBron James	79	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	4	-13	15.9	17.6	-1.74	14.6	12.0	2.64
Kyrie Irving	70	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.33	-9	4	-13	16.6	14.7	1.92	14.5	13.2	1.35
Tristan Thompson	62	64	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.17	-23	18	-41	16.7	15.1	1.63	14.6	13.4	1.19

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	77	76	1.00	-0.50	1.49	0.32	23	-18	41	14.3	13.8	0.44	16.5	14.5	2.03
Trevor Ariza	79	75	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.27	4	1	3	14.1	14.7	-0.62	16.4	15.3	1.10
Nene	44	42	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	1	3	13.0	15.2	-2.30	16.9	15.5	1.39
Patrick Beverley	69	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	8	-11	14.6	13.2	1.36	15.9	16.7	-0.74
Lou Williams	33	31	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	0	5	12.8	14.9	-2.06	15.4	16.5	-1.12
Ryan Anderson	58	59	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.30	-3	8	-11	15.3	12.6	2.68	16.3	15.9	0.36
Clint Capela	52	52	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	4	-3	15.2	13.0	2.30	15.5	16.9	-1.39
Eric Gordon	58	57	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.11	-2	7	-9	13.4	15.3	-1.89	16.1	16.2	-0.13
Sam Dekker	10	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	9	-13	14.4	14.2	0.23	14.9	16.3	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.33,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.66,0.7,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.84,0.85,1	91.1%
GSW 111, BOS 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.71,0.72,0.9,0.98,0.98,1,1	91.1%
PHI 92, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.93,0.99,1,1	91.1%