NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	7.3 [377]		MVP	Kareem Rush (CHA): +16.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	100		Comeback	5.2 [500]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -24.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	9	78%	0.19	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.08	0.00	13	74%	0.07	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	7	62%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	16	49%	-0.05	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24	-0.20	-0.08	-0.04	28	33%	-0.15	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.15	-0.00	14	45%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	18	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.05	0.03	10	64%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	12	45%	0.03	4	-0.10	5	60%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	13	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.0	29.8	15.8	25.1	2.4	33.3	129.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +12.6%

CHA +7.1%

CHA +23.6%

CHA +11.0%

PHI -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.3	15.6	95.8	103.1	104.4
season	15.2	14.8		104.1	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.4	14.2	15.4	14.0	14.5
CHA	14.4	17.7	13.4	16.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	27	26	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-12	16	16.0	13.9	2.06	14.0	15.8	-1.80
Kevin Ollie	10	10	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-8	8	13.8	14.6	-0.80	16.6	15.2	1.43
Michael Bradley	22	20	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-8	8	15.6	14.2	1.39	13.2	15.9	-2.67
Shavlik Randolph	1	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-6	4	0.0	14.7	-14.67	1.0	15.5	-14.47
John Salmons	58	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.13	-7	-1	-6	14.3	14.9	-0.66	14.9	16.0	-1.10
Kyle Korver	52	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.48	5	-13	18	14.4	14.6	-0.21	16.2	14.1	2.12
Andre Iguodala	80	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	0	-8	14.2	16.2	-2.07	15.1	16.4	-1.28
Allen Iverson	86	87	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	0	-8	14.6	13.8	0.80	15.2	16.6	-1.43
Chris Webber	70	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	2	-12	14.5	14.7	-0.24	16.0	13.3	2.69
Samuel Dalembert	74	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.25	-14	6	-20	14.6	14.4	0.20	15.8	13.9	1.84

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kareem Rush	45	44	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-1	10	15.0	15.6	-0.64	14.1	14.8	-0.71
Brevin Knight	88	87	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-4	16	15.6	12.8	2.80	14.7	13.1	1.56
Melvin Ely	64	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	-1	10	16.4	13.2	3.15	14.8	13.9	0.96
Jumaine Jones	79	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	0	8	14.8	17.4	-2.61	14.2	16.1	-1.89
Bernard Robinson	50	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	6	-4	14.4	16.3	-1.86	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Jake Voskuhl	27	27	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	1	6	15.0	15.4	-0.44	15.8	14.0	1.80
Primoz Brezec	59	58	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	5	-2	15.0	15.8	-0.73	14.1	15.2	-1.14
Matt Carroll	12	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	13	-18	18.7	14.8	3.82	15.4	14.4	1.02
Raymond Felton	61	61	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.06	-5	13	-18	15.2	15.5	-0.33	14.6	14.4	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.69,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.1%
NYK 86, CHH 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.97,0.91,1	92.1%
IND 113, WAS 123	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.96,0.95,1	91.7%