NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	6.8 [451]		MVP	Jarvis Hayes (NJN): +19.5%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	5.6 [330]		LVP	John Salmons (SAC): -18.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	10	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.20	-0.11	0.03	21	68%	0.14	2	-0.08	11	91%	0.03
Brad Miller	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	10	36%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	8	17%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.10	-0.00	8	75%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	-0.00	18	62%	0.29	4	-0.10	11	82%	-0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.00	14	61%	0.10	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.03
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	8	37%	-0.07
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	7	19%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	28.2	15.0	26.2	2.4	32.6	133.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +39.1%

NJN +4.9%

NJN +20.9%

SAC -14.5%

SAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NJN	NBA	SAC	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.7	15.5	100.0	107.7	106.4
season	15.0	16.0		104.0	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		108.9	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	14.0	19.9	16.5	16.1
NJN	15.3	16.0	16.1	15.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	48	49	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.10	7	-15	22	16.7	15.5	1.17	16.0	15.4	0.64
Bobby Jackson	36	37	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.11	6	-14	20	14.9	17.0	-2.10	15.2	16.0	-0.78
Bobby Brown	31	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-11	14	17.5	15.4	2.08	15.9	15.6	0.25
Beno Udrih	42	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-6	4	14.7	17.4	-2.64	15.6	15.8	-0.24
Kenny Thomas	46	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.34	7	-15	22	15.2	17.1	-1.85	15.7	15.7	0.09
Mikki Moore	26	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	0	-8	15.6	16.3	-0.77	15.2	15.9	-0.77
Kevin Martin	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-7	6	15.9	16.9	-0.96	16.8	12.2	4.57
John Salmons	54	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	1	-10	15.6	16.9	-1.37	15.5	16.0	-0.45
Francisco Garcia	38	39	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.18	-21	13	-34	18.9	14.1	4.89	14.5	16.6	-2.08
Brad Miller	60	60	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.19	-22	14	-36	16.6	15.1	1.48	15.7	15.8	-0.11

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	75	74	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-8	24	14.7	20.4	-5.67	16.3	15.1	1.21
Yi Jianlian	65	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-7	22	15.3	16.7	-1.44	15.9	16.8	-0.94
Jarvis Hayes	42	40	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.42	7	1	6	15.7	15.7	0.06	16.5	15.8	0.77
Josh Boone	47	46	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	5	-2	15.4	16.0	-0.57	16.2	16.0	0.19
Keyon Dooling	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	5	-2	16.4	13.8	2.68	15.8	17.0	-1.16
Brook Lopez	42	43	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	3	2	16.0	15.4	0.55	16.2	16.1	0.12
Trenton Hassell	13	12	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	7	-6	16.2	15.6	0.62	21.9	15.2	6.69
Bobby Simmons	40	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	4	0	15.8	15.6	0.22	16.2	16.0	0.18
Eduardo Najera	28	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	15	-22	16.7	15.3	1.41	16.5	16.0	0.53
Devin Harris	37	38	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	15	-22	16.1	15.5	0.59	13.9	17.8	-3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.69,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.1%
MIL 102, TOR 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.9,1,1,1	91.8%
IND 91, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.32,0.53,0.76,0.6,0.52,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	91.4%