NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	113		Excitement	6.9 [441]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +30.7%
Washington Wizards	123		Comeback	4.2 [71]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -9.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.13	0.07	-0.02	16	66%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	15	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.09
Rik Smits	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Dale Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.04
Chris Mullin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	12	48%	-0.04	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.14	0.16	-0.01	26	63%	0.33	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Michael Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.05	0.02	12	77%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.01	3	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	13	75%	0.12	3	-0.07	10	90%	-0.01
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Lorenzo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	29.4	14.8	24.2	1.7	33.2	128.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +52.2%

IND -2.8%

IND -4.9%

WAS +6.3%

IND -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.2	15.2	122.8	132.3	101.7
season	15.4	15.5		106.5	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.1		104.4	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.1	15.2	16.8	14.9	16.0
WAS	14.2	16.9	15.3	14.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	31	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.13	-5	-5	0	17.5	15.2	2.35	15.4	15.1	0.34
Travis Best	35	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-13	16	16.3	15.7	0.62	15.6	14.9	0.69
Reggie Miller	68	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-2	-6	15.7	16.5	-0.79	15.0	15.7	-0.71
Austin Croshere	45	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-8	6	15.7	16.2	-0.57	14.6	15.8	-1.27
Dale Davis	57	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	-1	-8	16.0	15.9	0.07	15.4	14.8	0.58
Mark Jackson	57	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	-13	3	-16	15.7	16.3	-0.62	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Chris Mullin	29	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-5	0	16.4	15.7	0.67	15.2	15.2	0.06
Jalen Rose	83	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-3	-4	16.2	13.8	2.41	15.2	14.7	0.57
Sam Perkins	55	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-6	2	14.9	17.5	-2.51	15.5	14.7	0.75

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	41	40	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-2	14	14.8	15.5	-0.76	14.9	16.8	-1.87
Juwan Howard	87	85	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	-3	16	15.2	15.5	-0.34	16.2	13.4	2.74
Jahidi White	44	44	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	1	8	15.8	14.6	1.21	16.0	15.9	0.13
Michael Smith	79	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	0	10	15.4	14.0	1.39	15.9	16.3	-0.41
Rod Strickland	80	77	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-1	12	15.4	13.8	1.64	15.7	17.3	-1.65
Richard Hamilton	52	52	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	4	2	15.0	15.4	-0.41	17.3	14.2	3.11
Chris Whitney	13	15	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	11	-12	13.8	15.4	-1.64	17.3	15.7	1.65
Ike Austin	31	31	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	7	-4	13.3	16.1	-2.84	17.1	15.4	1.67
Reggie Jordan	9	8	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.08	6	4	2	15.2	15.2	0.04	14.6	16.1	-1.46
Aaron Williams	6	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	15	-20	15.5	15.2	0.34	13.0	16.2	-3.16
Lorenzo Williams	16	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	14	-18	17.5	14.7	2.80	14.3	16.3	-1.99
Laron Profit	7	7	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.09	-10	20	-30	15.7	15.1	0.57	12.6	16.2	-3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.96,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 78, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.96,1,1,1	92.4%
MIA 92, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.32,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.96,0.92,1	91.8%
PHI 92, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.93,0.99,1,1	91.7%