NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	78		Excitement	6.1 [584]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +26.5%
Toronto Raptors	85		Comeback	3.5 [638]		LVP	Billy Owens (GSW): -16.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Vonteego Cummings	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	60%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.03	-0.04	18	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Sam Jacobson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.03	0.02	31	39%	-0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Billy Owens	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	12	21%	-0.16	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.15	-0.02	14	68%	0.28	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	5	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	8	72%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.01	13	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Haywoode Workman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	7	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	11	50%	-0.10	0	0.00	18	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.0	32.2	16.4	27.5	2.7	27.3	134.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +38.5%

TOR +11.1%

GSW -3.6%

TOR +1.8%

TOR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	TOR	NBA	GSW	TOR	NBA
this game	16.2	16.0	15.2	86.7	95.5	101.7
season	14.7	15.5		97.2	101.8
opponent	14.9	14.7		102.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.4	15.3	17.5	18.5	16.2
TOR	12.7	16.0	18.5	17.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	22	21	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.07	10	-17	27	12.5	17.4	-4.99	17.6	15.5	2.12
Sam Jacobson	21	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-8	9	15.8	16.3	-0.54	15.6	16.1	-0.42
Donyell Marshall	79	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-6	5	16.0	18.0	-2.03	15.8	17.0	-1.19
Jason Caffey	52	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-4	1	17.0	15.2	1.75	16.4	15.4	0.92
Vonteego Cummings	22	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-4	1	14.6	16.7	-2.16	18.0	15.3	2.72
Mookie Blaylock	70	69	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	0	-7	16.8	14.1	2.66	15.1	18.8	-3.67
Erick Dampier	55	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.07	-14	7	-21	17.3	14.6	2.70	16.4	15.3	1.12
Larry Hughes	77	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	2	-11	16.7	13.2	3.59	15.8	16.7	-0.90
Billy Owens	52	53	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	2	-11	15.6	17.0	-1.39	15.3	17.0	-1.71

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Muggsy Bogues	33	32	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	2	3	18.6	14.4	4.26	16.3	16.2	0.14
Dell Curry	20	20	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	-1	9	17.3	15.6	1.80	18.8	15.5	3.31
Michael Stewart	18	20	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	0	7	13.1	16.7	-3.63	18.2	15.7	2.54
Vince Carter	69	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	7	-7	15.5	17.5	-1.99	15.8	17.6	-1.81
Kevin Willis	75	74	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.31	-1	8	-9	16.5	13.3	3.17	15.8	18.2	-2.47
John Thomas	13	15	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	-1	9	12.2	16.6	-4.36	17.9	15.9	1.97
Charles Oakley	71	70	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	7	-7	16.7	13.1	3.63	15.7	18.2	-2.54
Doug Christie	55	58	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.09	8	-1	9	14.2	18.8	-4.55	16.3	16.0	0.30
Tracy McGrady	69	69	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	5	-3	15.7	16.9	-1.22	16.2	16.2	-0.02
Haywoode Workman	15	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	6	-5	17.7	15.6	2.06	17.5	15.9	1.55
Alvin Williams	7	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	10	-13	18.0	15.8	2.22	10.9	16.7	-5.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 92, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.72,0.68,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
UTA 78, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	93.5%
PHI 81, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1	93.1%