NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	92		Excitement	6.0 [661]		MVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): +28.7%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	3.2 [695]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): -18.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Melvin Ely	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.02	-0.03	8	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	13	39%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	14	47%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Jamal Sampson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	16	51%	-0.02	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.05
Gerald Wallace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	7	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.05	-0.04	16	27%	-0.09	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.14	-0.03	15	69%	0.29	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.10	-0.01	4	62%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.01	15	72%	0.15	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	12	47%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	17	55%	0.07	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	26.3	15.8	23.4	2.4	25.6	119.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +58.3%

TOR +5.4%

CHA -16.7%

TOR +3.5%

CHA -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	17.0	14.8	15.5	101.1	114.4	104.0
season	15.5	15.1		99.0	104.8
opponent	15.4	15.1		106.8	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.7	18.4	17.5	16.5	17.0
TOR	13.7	15.0	16.0	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	34	32	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.03	10	-21	31	17.2	16.8	0.39	14.6	14.9	-0.35
Jamal Sampson	9	9	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.07	6	-17	23	15.4	17.2	-1.71	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Jason Kapono	45	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-17	23	15.9	18.0	-2.09	14.8	14.8	0.02
Steven Smith	11	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-9	7	15.8	17.1	-1.33	16.2	14.6	1.55
Keith Bogans	38	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-9	7	17.1	16.9	0.24	13.6	15.7	-2.11
Gerald Wallace	40	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.19	-12	1	-13	18.3	15.9	2.38	15.2	14.6	0.62
Jason Hart	76	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-8	5	16.6	19.1	-2.57	15.1	13.2	1.95
Emeka Okafor	69	69	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.17	-16	5	-21	17.1	16.6	0.47	15.2	13.7	1.51
Kareem Rush	63	62	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.13	-20	9	-29	17.5	15.8	1.74	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Primoz Brezec	70	70	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.13	-22	11	-33	17.0	17.1	-0.14	14.7	15.3	-0.61

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	41	41	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.18	19	-8	27	14.8	14.9	-0.12	16.6	17.3	-0.65
Jalen Rose	61	61	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	2	7	14.1	16.4	-2.35	16.7	17.6	-0.91
Morris Peterson	84	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.20	9	2	7	14.9	13.2	1.77	16.8	20.2	-3.40
Chris Bosh	79	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	2	7	15.0	13.8	1.14	16.7	18.8	-2.08
Milt Palacio	38	39	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	2	7	14.2	15.3	-1.10	18.1	16.2	1.95
Eric Williams	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	7	-3	16.5	14.1	2.36	17.5	16.8	0.77
Rafael Araujo	45	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	6	-1	14.8	14.8	0.00	17.8	16.1	1.74
Rafer Alston	61	61	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	9	-7	15.1	14.2	0.86	16.6	17.8	-1.16
Loren Woods	15	15	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.08	-11	22	-33	14.3	14.9	-0.67	16.7	17.1	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.72,0.68,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 78, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.96,1,1,1	93.9%
PHI 81, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1	92.3%
POR 91, NOH 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.37,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.92,1	92.1%