NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	7.6 [302]		MVP	Vlade Divac (CHH): +16.4%
Charlotte Hornets	93		Comeback	6.3 [253]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -28.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.02	11	56%	0.10	1	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Buck Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Larry Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	69%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
John Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	16	50%	-0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	8	41%	-0.08	2	-0.08	6	83%	-0.02
Patrick Ewing	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3,-0.28	-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	11	51%	-0.07	5	-0.21	13	77%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.14	-0.00	19	53%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	6	67%	0.17	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
George Zidek	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	2	58%	-0.04	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	11	59%	-0.07	4	-0.07	12	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	33.3	16.8	26.6	2.5	45.9	151.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +20.2%

CHH +8.0%

NYK -6.8%

CHH +31.0%

NYK -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHH	NBA	NYK	CHH	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.6	91.5	100.0	104.4
season	15.1	15.7		102.0	108.0
opponent	16.0	16.1		106.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	16.4	16.9	13.2	15.5
CHH	16.2	13.6	16.6	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	62	61	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-4	1	16.4	13.9	2.45	15.3	15.2	0.09
Larry Johnson	50	50	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.30	6	-13	19	16.1	14.8	1.32	16.8	13.5	3.37
John Wallace	34	32	-0.18	-0.33	0.15	-0.00	-6	-1	-5	15.6	15.5	0.06	14.1	15.9	-1.81
Buck Williams	28	29	-0.21	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	14.6	15.9	-1.25	14.4	15.7	-1.31
Charlie Ward	55	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-8	9	15.9	14.9	0.98	15.7	14.6	1.18
Chris Childs	39	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	1	-9	14.9	15.9	-0.98	14.6	15.7	-1.18
Patrick Ewing	74	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	15.9	14.1	1.81	15.6	14.0	1.57
Charles Oakley	74	71	-0.46	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	2	-11	15.5	15.7	-0.29	15.4	14.8	0.66
John Starks	54	56	-0.56	0.05	-0.61	-0.38	-6	-1	-5	14.0	17.6	-3.62	14.4	16.7	-2.32

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Goldwire	34	32	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-1	9	15.3	15.3	0.02	12.3	17.2	-4.91
Glen Rice	66	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-1	9	14.9	16.3	-1.38	15.0	16.9	-1.90
Vlade Divac	64	63	0.42	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	0	7	15.8	14.1	1.66	15.5	15.5	0.01
Dell Curry	70	72	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	0	7	15.3	15.1	0.20	16.2	13.3	2.88
Anthony Mason	75	77	0.29	0.22	0.07	0.35	-2	9	-11	15.7	13.6	2.07	15.6	15.0	0.64
Malik Rose	27	26	0.29	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	-3	13	12.7	16.3	-3.58	15.6	15.5	0.13
Tony Delk	13	13	0.25	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	0	7	14.6	15.4	-0.77	13.7	15.8	-2.12
Matt Geiger	34	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	0	7	16.1	14.8	1.32	16.7	14.7	1.91
Muggsy Bogues	59	62	-0.06	0.57	-0.63	-0.06	0	7	-7	15.3	15.3	-0.02	17.2	12.3	4.91
Scott Burrell	10	9	-0.15	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	15	-23	15.8	15.2	0.58	12.8	15.8	-3.03
George Zidek	13	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.09	-9	16	-25	15.5	15.2	0.30	14.1	15.7	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.97,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.85,1,1	92.6%
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	92.5%
PHI 92, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.1%