NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	6.8 [465]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +53.4%
New Orleans Hornets	102		Comeback	2.6 [581]		LVP	Antoine Wright (DAL): -10.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.09	0.16	-0.00	9	68%	0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	23	59%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	6	62%	0.04	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	16	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jason Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	14	46%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	13	31%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.53	0.53	0.27	0.28	0.02	15	84%	0.61	1	-0.08	7	100%	0.08
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.16	0.18	-0.03	21	69%	0.43	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.09	0.02	6	53%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	12	52%	0.12	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	-0.04	11	46%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.7	30.5	15.8	26.4	3.5	33.3	136.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +73.4%

NOH +17.0%

DAL -21.0%

DAL -14.1%

DAL -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOH	NBA	DAL	NOH	NBA
this game	17.9	16.6	15.5	109.5	122.9	106.4
season	15.6	16.6		108.9	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.4		106.0	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.7	17.6	17.1	18.1	17.9
NOH	18.2	18.4	14.9	15.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Wright	32	34	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.14	13	-23	36	17.8	17.9	-0.02	19.1	14.9	4.17
Erick Dampier	48	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	0	-10	17.8	17.9	-0.10	15.8	17.8	-1.98
Dirk Nowitzki	77	75	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-11	12	17.4	23.0	-5.61	16.6	17.0	-0.41
Jose Juan Barea	30	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-6	2	20.8	16.2	4.58	18.6	15.5	3.09
Brandon Bass	39	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-7	4	18.8	17.0	1.85	18.0	15.5	2.53
Josh Howard	64	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.09	-19	9	-28	17.5	19.0	-1.50	15.5	19.7	-4.22
Jason Terry	60	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.17	-12	2	-14	17.7	18.2	-0.43	16.2	17.6	-1.34
Jason Kidd	70	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	6	-22	17.0	22.0	-4.97	15.8	21.3	-5.55

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	69	70	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.20	25	-15	40	15.7	21.2	-5.52	17.8	18.2	-0.43
James Posey	49	51	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.21	16	-6	22	15.7	17.9	-2.18	17.6	18.2	-0.53
David West	80	81	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-7	24	16.1	29.7	-13.53	18.0	14.7	3.31
Chris Paul	77	79	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-7	24	16.2	22.5	-6.33	18.1	14.4	3.68
Rasual Butler	66	66	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.23	-2	12	-14	16.7	16.2	0.57	17.8	18.2	-0.46
Sean Marks	13	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	13	-16	19.5	16.1	3.36	14.7	18.4	-3.63
Morris Peterson	11	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	10	-10	16.4	16.7	-0.30	20.4	17.4	2.99
Devin Brown	6	5	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	17	-24	22.5	16.2	6.33	14.4	18.1	-3.68
Melvin Ely	35	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.08	-2	12	-14	17.9	15.7	2.23	18.6	17.3	1.32
Antonio Daniels	9	8	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.11	-11	21	-32	23.3	15.8	7.52	16.9	18.0	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.92,0.99,1,1	92.7%
MIL 108, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.16,0.35,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.68,0.9,0.96,0.96,1	92.6%
WAS 84, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.37,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.91,0.92,1	92.0%