NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	84		Excitement	8.1 [214]		MVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): +22.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	85		Comeback	2.4 [486]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -50.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.2	0.08	0.11	-0.01	15	61%	0.23	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	14	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	8	62%	0.05	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.19	0.03	-0.22	0.00	9	72%	-0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.10	-0.14	0.00	3	33%	-0.10	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26	-0.10	-0.15	0.01	21	36%	-0.21	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.23	0.11	0.12	0.00	10	73%	0.25	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	52%	0.06	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.06
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	5	37%	0.10	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.09
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	10	24%	-0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.4,-0.4,-0.42,-0.42,-0.51	-0.51	-0.25	-0.27	-0.02	19	20%	-0.36	3	-0.15	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	30.6	15.7	22.0	2.5	31.6	127.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -4.8%

PHI +18.9%

PHI +4.7%

PHI +29.6%

PHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.7	16.1	15.4	96.6	95.5	105.7
season	16.1	15.2		106.8	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.5		104.2	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.5	13.0	19.7	16.0	16.7
PHI	15.1	17.0	14.6	17.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	29	31	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-4	7	14.8	17.6	-2.83	17.3	15.4	1.94
Andray Blatche	38	40	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.22	10	-11	21	14.1	18.7	-4.66	17.1	15.2	1.99
Nick Young	38	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.51	11	-12	23	15.4	17.7	-2.33	16.2	16.0	0.22
DeShawn Stevenson	68	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	3	-7	17.5	13.7	3.83	14.8	20.5	-5.73
Antawn Jamison	82	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.48	2	-3	5	17.0	12.0	4.96	16.1	15.2	0.95
Brendan Haywood	47	47	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	9	-19	18.3	14.8	3.52	15.6	16.6	-1.02
Antonio Daniels	52	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	14	-29	17.5	15.4	2.09	17.0	14.8	2.18
Caron Butler	81	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.52	-2	1	-3	16.7	16.0	0.73	15.7	20.8	-5.12

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	75	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-6	13	15.5	18.9	-3.32	17.2	14.0	3.19
Samuel Dalembert	76	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-9	19	16.2	15.0	1.24	17.0	14.7	2.33
Andre Iguodala	84	83	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.49	-1	2	-3	15.9	18.0	-2.06	16.6	18.7	-2.17
Kyle Korver	47	44	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.67	-10	11	-21	16.4	15.6	0.78	16.1	17.3	-1.19
Lou Williams	38	37	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.59	-8	9	-17	16.4	15.8	0.68	15.4	17.6	-2.26
Willie Green	54	54	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.17	14	-13	27	16.2	15.8	0.42	17.1	16.0	1.14
Reggie Evans	60	60	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	-1	3	15.7	16.8	-1.04	17.3	15.4	1.90
Jason Smith	11	10	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	10	-19	17.4	15.9	1.49	12.7	17.2	-4.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.37,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.84,0.98,1	92.0%
BOS 84, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.9,0.91,0.91,1	91.9%
POR 60, NJN 64	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.54,0.33,0.53,0.89,0.91,0.98,1	91.8%