NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	108		Excitement	7.3 [343]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +27.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Comeback	5.3 [555]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (MIL): -10.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Parker	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	15	73%	0.20	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.00	0.06	18	71%	0.17	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	13	48%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Larry Sanders	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	14	47%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	5	30%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	6	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.17	0.12	0.02	15	70%	0.30	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	16	73%	0.26	7	-0.21	5	60%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	15	51%	0.14	7	-0.18	21	67%	-0.05
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	29.3	15.4	27.3	1.8	40.1	138.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +54.1%

CLE +6.8%

MIL -8.3%

MIL -10.4%

CLE +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	15.1	109.1	112.1	104.2
season	14.5	15.9		100.5	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.7		104.1	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	19.0	12.9	14.3	14.7	15.1
CLE	12.3	13.7	15.1	14.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	27	27	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.10	9	-12	21	12.9	15.9	-3.00	13.7	14.1	-0.33
Khris Middleton	37	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-9	15	14.5	15.5	-0.91	15.1	13.3	1.87
Jared Dudley	40	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.20	6	-9	15	15.2	15.0	0.23	15.6	12.9	2.72
Jerryd Bayless	28	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-4	5	18.0	14.0	4.08	17.4	12.7	4.66
Larry Sanders	50	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	1	-5	14.8	15.4	-0.63	12.8	15.2	-2.42
Zaza Pachulia	49	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-5	7	15.4	14.8	0.63	15.4	12.5	2.91
O.J. Mayo	61	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	3	-9	13.3	18.1	-4.77	11.9	17.2	-5.24
Giannis Antetokounmpo	48	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	3	-9	16.8	13.5	3.30	14.7	13.2	1.49
Brandon Knight	79	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.30	-9	6	-15	15.0	15.6	-0.61	12.9	18.1	-5.16
Jabari Parker	76	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.22	-14	11	-25	15.5	13.7	1.84	13.5	15.6	-2.13

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	89	88	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.45	15	-12	27	13.4	18.8	-5.36	14.5	20.3	-5.81
Mike Miller	37	38	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.45	12	-9	21	13.8	14.1	-0.31	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Kevin Love	80	80	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.20	15	-12	27	14.0	14.1	-0.09	15.6	12.8	2.81
Tristan Thompson	53	54	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	-1	5	13.5	14.6	-1.13	14.6	15.7	-1.06
Kyrie Irving	84	86	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	-1	5	13.9	14.3	-0.42	14.8	17.0	-2.17
Anderson Varejao	56	54	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	10	-17	14.8	12.9	1.98	16.0	14.1	1.91
Dion Waiters	16	16	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.15	-11	14	-25	15.8	13.6	2.19	15.7	15.0	0.69
Shawn Marion	67	67	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.19	-2	5	-7	13.6	14.8	-1.18	15.4	14.4	1.00
Joe Harris	13	12	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.18	-15	18	-33	16.9	13.5	3.39	15.7	15.0	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.16,0.35,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.68,0.9,0.96,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.84,0.98,1	92.6%
DET 101, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.9,0.95,0.83,1	92.6%
MIL 97, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.41,0.6,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.95,1	92.1%