NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	7.5 [273]		MVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): +24.5%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	2.7 [542]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -19.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	3	86%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	5	91%	0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Jason Maxiell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	10	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.08	0.10	-0.04	-0.02	13	68%	0.24	3	-0.15	8	87%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	92%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	16	37%	-0.06	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.20	0.07	0.03	12	85%	0.28	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.15	-0.00	7	64%	0.22	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.12	-0.01	6	58%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.11	0.02	14	47%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	13	54%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	14	53%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	0.00	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	2	71%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	30.2	15.4	21.4	2.7	38.0	133.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +12.4%

DET -1.9%

PHX +19.4%

PHX +19.5%

PHX +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	16.8	15.3	15.6	112.2	122.5	102.8
season	16.3	15.0		99.5	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.4	15.2	18.1	16.8	16.8
PHX	13.3	16.2	14.6	17.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	18	18	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-11	14	16.1	17.0	-0.92	16.9	14.9	2.03
Jonas Jerebko	40	40	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.18	8	-16	24	14.7	18.5	-3.81	16.5	14.3	2.18
Greg Monroe	52	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-2	-4	17.3	16.2	1.05	14.2	16.8	-2.66
Ben Gordon	41	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	15.9	17.7	-1.78	13.9	16.6	-2.78
Rodney Stuckey	71	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-5	2	17.0	16.2	0.87	15.9	13.4	2.48
Ben Wallace	38	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-6	4	16.2	17.3	-1.05	16.8	14.2	2.66
Jason Maxiell	47	46	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.15	-12	4	-16	19.2	14.3	4.87	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Brandon Knight	71	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.23	-11	3	-14	16.9	16.7	0.14	15.0	16.6	-1.54
Tayshaun Prince	72	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	3	-14	17.0	16.1	0.92	14.9	16.9	-2.03

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	64	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	-4	16	14.9	16.5	-1.60	16.8	16.9	-0.05
Channing Frye	66	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.16	10	-2	12	15.2	15.6	-0.38	17.4	15.1	2.26
Robin Lopez	37	35	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.39	2	6	-4	17.4	13.8	3.56	16.5	17.0	-0.49
Steve Nash	42	43	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	1	6	14.5	16.0	-1.52	15.8	17.8	-1.93
Grant Hill	58	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	0	8	14.9	16.1	-1.23	16.8	16.9	-0.03
Shannon Brown	31	29	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	8	-8	15.1	15.4	-0.35	16.2	17.2	-0.99
Markieff Morris	23	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	10	-12	15.6	15.2	0.38	15.1	17.4	-2.26
Sebastian Telfair	27	28	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	9	-10	16.1	15.0	1.13	16.5	17.0	-0.50
Michael Redd	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	10	-12	17.1	14.6	2.47	17.7	16.5	1.14
Marcin Gortat	49	52	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	6	-4	14.7	16.1	-1.50	17.5	15.9	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.9,0.95,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.62,0.84,0.94,0.98,1	93.6%
SAC 78, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.73,1	92.6%
MIL 108, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.16,0.35,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.68,0.9,0.96,0.96,1	92.6%