NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	6.8 [444]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): +15.0%
Toronto Raptors	110		Comeback	2.3 [609]		LVP	Sharone Wright (TOR): -12.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	18	62%	0.19	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	10	74%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	6	57%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Adam Keefe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.01	11	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.08	-0.04	8	65%	0.05	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Greg Foster	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.08	0.03	20	67%	0.34	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	10	73%	0.14	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.03
Popeye Jones	0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	12	61%	0.11	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.03
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.05	6	87%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Acie Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	60%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	26.2	15.7	26.0	1.8	25.2	122.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +36.0%

TOR +3.7%

TOR +20.4%

UTA -11.3%

TOR +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	17.2	15.6	106.7	122.2	104.4
season	15.6	16.1		110.8	102.2
opponent	15.0	16.0		105.6	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.1	14.8	14.5	16.0	14.8
TOR	18.6	15.2	16.8	18.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	31	33	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-15	16	15.2	14.7	0.53	18.1	16.6	1.52
Howard Eisley	21	20	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-16	18	16.0	14.5	1.45	15.7	17.6	-1.81
Adam Keefe	39	38	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-19	24	15.1	14.6	0.46	16.5	17.7	-1.18
Greg Foster	32	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-9	4	14.4	15.1	-0.63	17.1	17.2	-0.03
Karl Malone	72	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	14.6	16.0	-1.44	17.0	17.6	-0.57
Jeff Hornacek	60	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-6	-2	14.2	16.1	-1.88	17.2	17.0	0.18
Chris Morris	14	13	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-5	-4	15.9	14.6	1.28	17.3	17.1	0.18
Bryon Russell	67	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	2	-18	15.0	14.3	0.73	17.4	16.2	1.26
Antoine Carr	45	45	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	1	-16	15.4	14.3	1.02	16.6	17.7	-1.02
John Stockton	69	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	2	-18	14.5	16.0	-1.45	17.6	15.7	1.81

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	74	71	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.10	18	-4	22	17.7	14.8	2.85	14.7	15.5	-0.86
Carlos Rogers	67	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-1	16	16.4	19.3	-2.89	15.6	12.6	2.98
Walt Williams	64	65	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	-3	20	17.6	16.2	1.41	14.7	15.2	-0.55
Damon Stoudamire	78	78	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-3	20	17.7	13.5	4.22	14.7	15.8	-1.14
Doug Christie	75	75	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	9	-4	17.1	17.6	-0.53	14.3	17.5	-3.15
Acie Earl	12	14	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	12	-10	17.1	17.2	-0.08	17.4	14.4	3.06
Marcus Camby	39	39	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	12	-10	15.6	18.4	-2.76	15.6	14.3	1.32
John Long	12	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	17	-20	13.5	17.7	-4.22	15.8	14.7	1.14
Sharone Wright	29	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	17	-20	19.0	16.3	2.77	13.0	15.7	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.92,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.84,0.98,1	92.7%
MIN 105, IND 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.95,0.99,1	92.2%
BKN 109, CLE 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.81,0.85,0.94,1,1	92.0%