NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	109		Excitement	7.6 [357]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +46.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	119		Comeback	2.9 [797]		LVP	Caris LeVert (BKN): -7.1%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.13	0.15	-0.01	11	74%	0.31	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Sean Kilpatrick	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	6	67%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	10	82%	0.16	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	7	57%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Allen Crabbe	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	12	60%	0.13	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Jarrett Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Caris LeVert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	45%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.19,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.47	0.47	0.20	0.30	0.04	17	77%	0.54	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.02
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.03	0.01	5	108%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	7	64%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.02	7	63%	0.15	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	13	60%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	6	42%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Holland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	18	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	0.3	22.1	14.4	27.6	2.4	34.2	126.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.1%

CLE +3.6%

BKN -2.6%

CLE +23.3%

CLE +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CLE	NBA	BKN	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	13.8	14.7	109.0	117.8	107.5
season	14.7	14.8		105.8	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.1		110.6	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.4	14.0	15.1	16.0	14.9
CLE	13.8	14.2	12.6	14.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	41	40	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.13	10	-20	30	13.3	15.9	-2.66	13.4	14.1	-0.67
Joe Harris	62	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-12	14	13.2	17.6	-4.47	14.4	12.9	1.47
Tyler Zeller	43	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-8	6	16.1	13.9	2.24	14.5	13.3	1.20
Sean Kilpatrick	25	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-11	12	14.7	14.9	-0.24	13.8	13.8	-0.06
Allen Crabbe	63	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-4	-2	15.1	14.5	0.64	13.7	14.0	-0.31
Caris LeVert	49	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.18	-1	-9	8	13.8	15.9	-2.09	13.5	14.1	-0.64
Spencer Dinwiddie	55	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.00	-10	0	-10	16.1	13.4	2.74	14.0	13.5	0.51
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	51	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	1	-12	15.5	14.2	1.37	13.9	13.7	0.15
Quincy Acy	40	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	1	-12	14.4	15.2	-0.81	13.4	14.1	-0.67
DeMarre Carroll	71	72	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.18	-22	12	-34	15.9	12.3	3.59	13.5	14.7	-1.20

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	68	68	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.13	20	-10	30	13.7	14.1	-0.43	15.9	12.6	3.33
Kyle Korver	58	57	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	0	10	14.0	13.5	0.55	14.8	15.0	-0.25
Dwyane Wade	62	62	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	2	6	13.4	14.5	-1.16	13.9	16.4	-2.52
Kevin Love	66	65	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	0	10	13.6	14.2	-0.61	14.9	14.7	0.22
Channing Frye	33	34	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	9	-8	14.3	13.5	0.79	15.0	14.8	0.17
JR Smith	69	68	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	7	-4	13.8	13.7	0.12	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Jae Crowder	55	54	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	4	2	13.3	14.3	-1.00	15.6	14.0	1.51
Jeff Green	33	32	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	14.2	13.6	0.61	14.7	15.0	-0.30
John Holland	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	22.0	13.7	8.28	6.0	14.9	-8.95
Ante Zizic	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	22.0	13.7	8.28	6.0	14.9	-8.95
Jose Calderon	42	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	10	-10	13.6	13.9	-0.31	15.2	14.6	0.65
Cedi Osman	17	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	14	-18	15.0	13.6	1.44	12.6	15.3	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.81,0.85,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.88,0.98,0.96,1	93.1%
MIA 80, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	93.1%
OKC 107, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.94,1,1	92.8%