NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	8.0 [242]		MVP	Dahntay Jones (IND): +44.9%
Indiana Pacers	116		Comeback	3.5 [584]		LVP	Jonny Flynn (MIN): -23.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	9	71%	0.13	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Corey Brewer	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.05	9	48%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Lazar Hayward	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	11	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Love	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.08	1	-0.04	9	100%	0.08
Kosta Koufos	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	15	44%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Tolliver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	7	29%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	7	44%	-0.07	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Jonny Flynn	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.05	0.03	8	25%	-0.10	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.16	0.30	0.02	7	95%	0.47	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	57%	0.13	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	12	61%	0.15	3	-0.08	7	71%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.03	0.04	6	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	11	31%	-0.09	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.0	28.1	15.4	30.4	1.7	38.2	143.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +80.3%

MIN -6.7%

MIN -25.6%

IND +8.2%

MIN -6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	14.0	15.5	107.1	117.2	105.7
season	14.3	14.7		102.7	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.5	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	14.9	14.0	18.2	15.3
IND	13.2	13.9	13.7	15.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	36	36	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.02	8	-19	27	13.7	16.2	-2.50	13.4	14.3	-0.96
Jonny Flynn	51	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-7	3	14.5	16.1	-1.56	13.4	14.6	-1.15
Wesley Johnson	35	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.19	-7	-4	-3	12.7	16.7	-3.98	12.6	14.7	-2.09
Anthony Tolliver	36	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-10	9	15.5	15.1	0.35	14.3	13.8	0.53
Lazar Hayward	52	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.36	4	-15	19	15.5	15.0	0.56	14.5	13.3	1.21
Corey Brewer	46	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.19	-15	4	-19	15.0	15.5	-0.56	13.7	14.2	-0.59
Kevin Love	80	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	3	-17	15.2	15.7	-0.48	13.7	15.0	-1.26
Wayne Ellington	65	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-5	-1	16.4	13.1	3.25	14.8	12.5	2.28
Sebastian Telfair	46	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	-5	-1	16.3	14.3	1.98	14.2	13.7	0.54
Nikola Pekovic	43	44	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	3	-17	16.8	14.1	2.66	14.5	13.5	1.04

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	37	36	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	0	11	14.7	13.5	1.21	16.4	14.6	1.85
Josh McRoberts	54	53	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.06	21	-10	31	14.0	14.0	-0.01	14.8	15.9	-1.09
A.J. Price	31	31	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-1	13	14.0	14.0	0.04	17.1	14.4	2.62
Roy Hibbert	61	60	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	5	1	14.1	13.8	0.34	15.0	15.7	-0.75
Jeff Foster	36	36	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	8	-5	13.7	14.1	-0.48	16.3	14.7	1.58
Mike Dunleavy	39	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	5	1	14.0	14.0	0.01	16.1	14.7	1.39
Danny Granger	62	62	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	4	3	14.2	13.5	0.69	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Paul George	62	60	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	11	-11	13.3	15.1	-1.77	14.3	16.8	-2.43
Darren Collison	68	67	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	12	-13	14.0	14.0	-0.04	14.4	17.1	-2.62
Tyler Hansbrough	45	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.24	-10	21	-31	14.0	14.0	0.01	15.9	14.8	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 94, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.19,0.34,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.73,0.45,0.79,0.97,0.99,1	93.1%
DEN 92, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.66,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.92,1	92.2%
BKN 95, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.83,1	92.2%