NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	81		Excitement	3.8 [1054]		MVP	Mo Williams (CLE): +21.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	1.4 [981]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -7.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	12	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	16	57%	0.09	2	-0.07	10	60%	-0.03
Michael Finley	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	5	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.05	-0.00	15	73%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.24	0.01	0.05	21	76%	0.24	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Delonte West	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	15	73%	0.08	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	2	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	2.8	30.1	18.8	27.0	2.8	29.0	141.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +34.6%

SAS -2.3%

CLE +7.6%

CLE +7.1%

CLE +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CLE	NBA	SAS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.0	17.1	15.5	92.0	117.4	106.4
season	16.4	16.9		106.6	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.7		101.0	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.9	17.0	16.6	15.7	16.0
CLE	16.4	17.3	18.6	16.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	12	11	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.03	2	-22	24	15.7	16.1	-0.39	13.5	17.7	-4.20
Michael Finley	48	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-19	18	15.0	17.2	-2.20	17.7	16.3	1.39
Ime Udoka	21	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-14	8	15.3	16.2	-0.88	16.5	17.3	-0.76
Matt Bonner	35	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-13	6	16.1	16.0	0.09	18.2	16.4	1.83
Kurt Thomas	30	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-17	14	16.8	15.6	1.26	15.9	17.7	-1.74
Jacque Vaughn	22	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-14	8	17.9	15.4	2.55	15.7	17.5	-1.84
Roger Mason Jr.	39	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.15	-12	-8	-4	17.2	15.1	2.07	16.6	17.5	-0.92
Tim Duncan	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-8	-4	16.5	15.4	1.05	17.6	16.5	1.15
Manu Ginobili	41	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-10	0	16.2	15.8	0.41	17.5	16.8	0.76
Tony Parker	66	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-6	-8	15.4	17.9	-2.55	17.5	15.7	1.84
Bruce Bowen	31	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-3	-14	15.4	16.3	-0.95	16.7	17.4	-0.73
Drew Gooden	48	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	-6	-8	15.6	16.5	-0.87	17.3	16.8	0.49

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	39	40	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	0	20	16.1	18.0	-1.95	17.0	15.2	1.83
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	65	65	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	1	18	17.4	16.1	1.29	16.1	15.7	0.41
Mo Williams	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.12	20	0	20	17.0	17.3	-0.27	16.0	15.9	0.11
Daniel Gibson	44	48	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	5	10	16.3	18.0	-1.63	16.6	15.2	1.38
Delonte West	66	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.19	16	4	12	17.6	15.5	2.11	16.2	15.5	0.69
LeBron James	67	67	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	13	-6	17.5	15.7	1.77	15.1	19.0	-3.94
Wally Szczerbiak	24	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	19	-18	16.6	17.3	-0.74	15.4	16.3	-0.87
Darnell Jackson	44	44	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.13	5	15	-10	17.7	16.5	1.30	15.5	16.5	-0.95
JJ Hickson	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	18	-16	13.0	17.4	-4.37	17.5	15.9	1.61
Tarence Kinsey	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	14.5	17.2	-2.68	10.0	16.1	-6.14
Sasha Pavlovic	10	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	21	-22	18.4	16.9	1.45	17.2	15.8	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.92,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1	95.6%
MIA 75, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
NOP 96, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%