NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	96		Excitement	4.1 [986]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (GSW): +22.5%
Golden State Warriors	112		Comeback	1.4 [1249]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -14.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexis Ajinca	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	9	68%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Withey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	58%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	67%	0.01	4	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Elliot Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.06	13	62%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.04	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	12	46%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.05	0.00	13	76%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.03	0.06	8	81%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	57%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	0.04	17	40%	-0.06	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	27.2	15.5	26.4	2.4	28.5	128.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +26.8%

GSW +2.3%

GSW +4.2%

GSW +16.1%

GSW +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	GSW	NBA	NOP	GSW	NBA
this game	16.6	13.4	15.1	100.0	116.7	104.2
season	15.8	13.6		106.3	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		99.7	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.1	15.8	19.2	16.2	16.6
GSW	12.6	14.8	10.8	15.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Williams	22	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-18	20	16.2	16.7	-0.45	15.8	12.7	3.10
Tyreke Evans	30	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-13	10	17.6	16.1	1.49	12.6	13.8	-1.15
Alexis Ajinca	38	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-14	12	17.8	15.7	2.10	11.9	14.4	-2.49
Jimmer Fredette	46	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-8	0	16.1	17.0	-0.93	14.2	12.7	1.58
Luke Babbitt	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-6	-4	16.2	16.9	-0.66	13.9	13.0	0.96
Quincy Pondexter	56	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-7	-2	16.8	16.3	0.51	13.0	14.0	-1.09
Eric Gordon	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-8	0	17.0	16.2	0.79	12.7	14.2	-1.58
Jeff Withey	58	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-2	-12	15.7	17.8	-2.10	14.4	11.9	2.49
Norris Cole	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	-3	-10	16.2	17.8	-1.61	14.1	11.6	2.47
Dante Cunningham	63	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	-1	-14	16.8	16.2	0.64	12.2	15.6	-3.35

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	46	46	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.28	26	-10	36	14.1	12.8	1.23	16.9	16.3	0.57
Andre Iguodala	46	45	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.24	23	-7	30	14.4	12.6	1.81	17.1	16.1	1.05
Draymond Green	56	56	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	2	12	11.9	15.6	-3.72	17.2	15.6	1.58
Stephen Curry	55	56	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	5	6	11.7	15.7	-3.94	17.2	15.6	1.58
Festus Ezeli	28	27	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	14	-12	13.1	13.6	-0.45	16.0	16.8	-0.80
Shaun Livingston	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	6	4	16.0	11.5	4.45	16.5	16.7	-0.19
Marreese Speights	32	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.21	13	3	10	14.2	13.1	1.09	17.3	16.2	1.07
David Lee	39	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	15	-14	15.9	11.8	4.12	16.3	16.8	-0.51
Andrew Bogut	30	31	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	14	-12	12.2	14.0	-1.78	16.5	16.6	-0.18
Harrison Barnes	39	41	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	16	-16	12.3	14.2	-1.97	16.8	16.4	0.45
James Michael McAdoo	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.22	-6	22	-28	12.9	13.5	-0.58	11.5	17.3	-5.80
Justin Holiday	45	44	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.30	-9	25	-34	13.0	13.8	-0.89	16.2	16.8	-0.60
Brandon Rush	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	13.6	13.4	0.24	13.0	17.0	-3.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 87, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
POR 88, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ATL 95, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%