NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	3.6 [1085]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (DET): +9.9%
Detroit Pistons	100		Comeback	1.6 [907]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -10.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rick Fox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	21	45%	0.01	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.03
Luke Walton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	13	48%	-0.08	1	-0.03	16	37%	-0.10

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	117%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	13	56%	0.06	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	8	69%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	5	43%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	78%	0.06	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.02
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	15	45%	-0.06	1	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.14	0.00	-0.08	18	45%	0.00	4	-0.07	11	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.8	35.5	19.5	31.4	3.5	32.3	151.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +26.3%

DET +11.1%

DET +8.1%

DET +3.1%

DET +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	17.8	15.7	98.9	113.6	100.5
season	15.4	16.2		102.8	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.6		92.6	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.5	16.0	16.8	10.6	14.9
DET	16.3	16.7	17.5	20.7	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	35	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.32	9	-22	31	12.5	16.5	-3.91	18.8	17.1	1.69
Derek Fisher	37	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-16	19	12.9	16.4	-3.51	17.7	17.9	-0.17
Kareem Rush	37	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-16	19	12.6	16.6	-3.97	18.9	17.1	1.75
Bryon Russell	12	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.18	-11	-2	-9	15.8	14.7	1.08	13.2	18.5	-5.31
Rick Fox	21	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-10	7	12.6	15.6	-2.99	15.7	18.4	-2.69
Brian Cook	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-12	11	14.1	15.2	-1.06	15.4	18.7	-3.24
Devean George	35	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-6	-1	16.2	14.0	2.21	18.2	17.6	0.57
Slava Medvedenko	41	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-2	-9	16.6	13.4	3.25	18.2	17.5	0.68
Shaquille O'Neal	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-1	-11	15.4	13.6	1.81	18.7	15.6	3.09
Gary Payton	54	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	3	-19	16.5	12.4	4.10	17.7	18.0	-0.28
Kobe Bryant	81	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	6	-25	15.7	6.0	9.67	17.9	17.3	0.53

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	74	76	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.16	23	-10	33	18.1	16.2	1.92	15.4	11.8	3.55
Richard Hamilton	82	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-1	15	18.1	13.7	4.47	15.2	10.3	4.90
Tayshaun Prince	68	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	-3	19	18.4	15.8	2.63	15.7	12.2	3.49
Chauncey Billups	60	60	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.17	16	-3	19	18.1	17.1	1.01	15.3	14.0	1.37
Elden Campbell	30	27	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	-1	15	15.0	19.3	-4.24	16.2	14.3	1.91
Mehmet Okur	11	12	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	11	-9	18.0	17.8	0.19	16.2	14.7	1.57
Mike James	17	18	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.30	-6	19	-25	18.6	17.6	0.94	12.0	15.6	-3.64
Corliss Williamson	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	16	-19	15.6	18.9	-3.29	13.1	15.8	-2.73
Lindsey Hunter	27	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	15	-17	14.5	19.3	-4.78	12.8	15.8	-3.02
Rasheed Wallace	34	35	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	9	-5	20.8	15.9	4.88	16.4	13.9	2.49
Darvin Ham	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	19.0	17.8	1.21	3.0	15.3	-12.32
Darko Milicic	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	21	-29	19.8	17.7	2.09	4.0	15.6	-11.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 95, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NOP 96, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
TOR 87, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%